Points
37Points expected by the market
35.80Gap
+1.20Yield
+27.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.39 | −48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.16 | −10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | +1.92 | +71.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.39 | −48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.85 | −22.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.81 | +6.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.69 | +7.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 9 | +1.11 | +98.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ajax · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.35 |
| M2 | Zwolle · Home15 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.74 |
| M3 | Volendam · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.30 |
| M4 | PSV Eindhoven · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.77 | +0.47 |
| M5 | Fortuna Sittard · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.14 |
| M6 | Groningen · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.85 |
| M7 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.10 |
| M8 | AZ Alkmaar · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.63 |
| M9 | Heerenveen · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.84 |
| M10 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.77 |
| M11 | Excelsior · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −3.37 |
| M12 | Twente · Away7 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.48 | −2.89 |
| M13 | Utrecht · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.93 |
| M14 | Feyenoord · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.71 |
| M15 | Heracles · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −3.96 |
| M16 | Nijmegen · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.13 |
| M17 | NAC Breda · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −2.05 |
| M18 | Ajax · Home11 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.02 |
| M19 | Excelsior · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.21 |
| M20 | AZ Alkmaar · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.36 |
| M21 | Zwolle · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.59 |
| M22 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −5.57 |
| M23 | Twente · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −5.26 |
| M24 | Feyenoord · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.64 |
| M25 | NAC Breda · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −4.00 |
| M26 | Fortuna Sittard · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.25 |
| M27 | Heerenveen · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.10 |
| M28 | PSV Eindhoven · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.29 | −0.82 |
| M29 | Groningen · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.15 |
| M30 | Utrecht · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.91 |
| M31 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home22 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.52 |
| M32 | Nijmegen · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −1.27 |
| M33 | Heracles · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.44 |
| M34 | Volendam · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.20 |
| Total | 37 | +1.20 | |||