Points
58Points expected by the market
61.08Gap
−3.08Yield
−23.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 29 | −0.10 | −14.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.92 | −25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.76 | −14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 22 | −0.78 | −18.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.91 | +15.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.45 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.68 | −1.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.83 | −66.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.21 | −4.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Zwolle · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.66 |
| M2 | PSV Eindhoven · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.45 |
| M3 | Heerenveen · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.84 |
| M4 | Excelsior · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −2.58 |
| M5 | NAC Breda · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | −3.69 |
| M6 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.14 |
| M7 | Fortuna Sittard · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | −1.34 |
| M8 | Heracles · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.63 | −0.71 |
| M9 | Nijmegen · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.08 |
| M10 | Ajax · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.53 |
| M11 | Groningen · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −3.02 |
| M12 | Telstar · Home7 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.31 | −4.33 |
| M13 | Volendam · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −5.25 |
| M14 | AZ Alkmaar · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −3.81 |
| M15 | Utrecht · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.12 |
| M16 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −3.32 |
| M17 | Feyenoord · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −3.36 |
| M18 | Zwolle · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | −4.71 |
| M19 | Heracles · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −3.83 |
| M20 | Excelsior · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.40 | −5.23 |
| M21 | NAC Breda · Away30 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −5.82 |
| M22 | Heerenveen · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −4.84 |
| M23 | Telstar · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −5.94 |
| M24 | Groningen · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −5.03 |
| M25 | Feyenoord · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.65 |
| M26 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −2.57 |
| M27 | Utrecht · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −4.52 |
| M28 | Fortuna Sittard · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −3.62 |
| M29 | Ajax · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.88 |
| M30 | Volendam · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.51 | −1.37 |
| M31 | Nijmegen · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −2.32 |
| M32 | AZ Alkmaar · Away3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.59 |
| M33 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home10 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −1.84 |
| M34 | PSV Eindhoven · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.08 |
| Total | 58 | −3.08 | |||