Points
53Points expected by the market
50.11Gap
+2.89Yield
+12.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.46 | +41.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 22 | −4.76 | −28.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.50 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 13 | +5.69 | +101.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.46 | +41.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.10 | −4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.66 | +24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −4.86 | −64.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.17 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 13 | +6.64 | +127.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heracles · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.94 |
| M2 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.38 |
| M3 | Excelsior · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +0.44 |
| M4 | Zwolle · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.83 |
| M5 | Groningen · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −0.07 |
| M6 | Fortuna Sittard · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.65 |
| M7 | Heerenveen · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −2.49 |
| M8 | Feyenoord · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.13 |
| M9 | Volendam · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −2.42 |
| M10 | AZ Alkmaar · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.13 |
| M11 | Nijmegen · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.69 |
| M12 | Ajax · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.01 |
| M13 | Telstar · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.68 |
| M14 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.17 |
| M15 | Twente · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.58 |
| M16 | NAC Breda · Away14 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.94 |
| M17 | PSV Eindhoven · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.90 |
| M18 | Volendam · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −4.71 |
| M19 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −6.40 |
| M20 | Heerenveen · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −6.29 |
| M21 | Feyenoord · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −7.39 |
| M22 | Nijmegen · Away11 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −5.23 |
| M23 | Groningen · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −3.21 |
| M24 | Zwolle · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −4.20 |
| M25 | AZ Alkmaar · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.72 |
| M26 | Heracles · Away6 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.30 |
| M27 | Twente · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −1.12 |
| M28 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.07 |
| M29 | PSV Eindhoven · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.73 |
| M30 | Telstar · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +0.25 |
| M31 | Excelsior · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.34 |
| M32 | NAC Breda · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.23 |
| M33 | Ajax · Away10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +1.96 |
| M34 | Fortuna Sittard · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.89 |
| Total | 53 | +2.89 | |||