Points
32Points expected by the market
29.21Gap
+2.79Yield
−3.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.92 | −18.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 18 | +3.36 | −1.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.55 | −35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 13 | +7.11 | +113.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.63 | +50.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −3.75 | −63.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heerenveen · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.23 |
| M2 | AZ Alkmaar · Home17 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.62 |
| M3 | Telstar · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.43 |
| M4 | Ajax · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +0.22 |
| M6 | Excelsior · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.32 |
| M7 | Zwolle · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.26 |
| M8 | Fortuna Sittard · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.67 |
| M9 | Utrecht · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.21 |
| M10 | Heracles · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.14 |
| M11 | Feyenoord · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.25 | −0.11 |
| M12 | NAC Breda · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.59 |
| M13 | Twente · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.75 |
| M14 | PSV Eindhoven · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.25 | +1.49 |
| M15 | Nijmegen · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.63 |
| M16 | Groningen · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +0.07 |
| M17 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.18 |
| M18 | AZ Alkmaar · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.32 | −1.50 |
| M19 | Utrecht · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.57 |
| M20 | Ajax · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.06 |
| M21 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.02 |
| M22 | Zwolle · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | +2.23 |
| M23 | PSV Eindhoven · Home13 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.55 | +4.78 |
| M24 | NAC Breda · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +4.00 |
| M25 | Groningen · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.97 |
| M26 | Nijmegen · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +5.49 |
| M27 | Fortuna Sittard · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.04 |
| M28 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +3.40 |
| M29 | Feyenoord · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | +3.73 |
| M30 | Twente · Away10 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | +3.35 |
| M31 | Heracles · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.17 |
| M32 | Heerenveen · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.01 |
| M33 | Excelsior · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +4.15 |
| M34 | Telstar · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +2.79 |
| Total | 32 | +2.79 | |||