Points
37Points expected by the market
35.61Gap
+1.39Yield
−21.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +2.02 | +21.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | +1.00 | −46.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.34 | +63.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.99 | +60.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.32 | −46.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −1.98 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Twente · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.92 |
| M2 | Telstar · Away15 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.59 |
| M3 | Utrecht · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.47 |
| M4 | Ajax · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +1.99 |
| M5 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.60 |
| M6 | AZ Alkmaar · Away24 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | +1.10 |
| M7 | Volendam · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.21 |
| M8 | PSV Eindhoven · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.86 |
| M9 | NAC Breda · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.75 |
| M10 | Nijmegen · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.73 |
| M11 | Heracles · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 2-8 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.07 |
| M12 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.40 |
| M13 | Groningen · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.04 |
| M14 | Heerenveen · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.97 |
| M15 | Feyenoord · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.31 | +1.66 |
| M16 | Fortuna Sittard · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.26 |
| M17 | Excelsior · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.13 |
| M18 | Twente · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | +2.64 |
| M19 | AZ Alkmaar · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.32 | +4.96 |
| M20 | Nijmegen · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +4.29 |
| M21 | Telstar · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.79 |
| M22 | Volendam · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | +3.78 |
| M23 | Heerenveen · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.94 |
| M24 | Utrecht · Away22 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.16 |
| M25 | Ajax · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.16 |
| M26 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +3.23 |
| M27 | Groningen · Home13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.91 |
| M28 | NAC Breda · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.39 |
| M29 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.42 |
| M30 | Excelsior · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.87 |
| M31 | PSV Eindhoven · Away23 Apr 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.49 | +2.38 |
| M32 | Heracles · Home3 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.30 |
| M33 | Fortuna Sittard · Away10 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.11 |
| M34 | Feyenoord · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.39 |
| Total | 37 | +1.39 | |||