Points
21Points expected by the market
21.07Gap
−0.07Yield
−11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 18 | −0.03 | −13.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.31 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 6 | −3.53 | −72.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.49 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.31 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Zwolle · Away9 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.87 |
| M2 | Heerenveen · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | −0.30 |
| M3 | Telstar · Away30 Aug 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.61 |
| M4 | PSV Eindhoven · Home5 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.74 |
| M5 | Fortuna Sittard · Away12 Sep 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.06 |
| M6 | Willem II · Home15 Sep 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.35 | +0.41 |
| M7 | Excelsior · Home19 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.44 | −1.03 |
| M8 | Nijmegen · Home10 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | −2.30 |
| M9 | Groningen · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.99 |
| M10 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away25 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.07 |
| Total | 21 | −0.07 | |||