ESEN
← Super League 2019-20

Larisa

Season 2019-20 · 33 matches played

Last 5WLDDD

Points

36

Points expected by the market

38.29

Gap

−2.29

Yield

−27.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 6 13 10.98 +2.02 +22.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 13 18.07 −5.07 −63.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 10 9.24 +0.76 −11.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Atromitos · Away25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 1-1 5.45 0.79 1 +0.21 +0.21 −€1.00
M2 Olympiakos · Home1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 L 0-1 8.65 0.53 0 −0.53 −0.32 −€1.00
M3 Panionios · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 L 0-1 3.26 1.18 0 −1.18 −1.50 −€1.00
M4 Xanthi · Home22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 W 3-0 2.00 1.71 3 +1.29 −0.20 +€1.00
M5 Aris · Away28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 W 3-2 6.46 0.69 3 +2.31 +2.11 +€5.46
M6 AEK · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 D 0-0 4.25 0.95 1 +0.05 +2.16 −€1.00
M7 Panetolikos · Away19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 D 2-2 3.10 1.22 1 −0.22 +1.93 −€1.00
M8 Panathinaikos · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 W 2-1 5.03 0.84 3 +2.16 +4.10 +€4.03
M9 OFI Crete · Home3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 W 3-2 2.29 1.52 3 +1.48 +5.57 +€1.29
M10 Lamia · Home11 Nov 2019 11 Nov 2019 L 0-3 1.80 1.85 0 −1.85 +3.72 −€1.00
M11 PAOK · Away24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 L 0-1 14.77 0.33 0 −0.33 +3.39 −€1.00
M12 Volos NFC · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 W 2-1 1.69 1.91 3 +1.09 +4.48 +€0.69
M13 Asteras Tripolis · Away8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 D 1-1 4.48 0.91 1 +0.09 +4.57 −€1.00
M14 Atromitos · Home15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 L 1-2 2.32 1.51 0 −1.51 +3.07 −€1.00
M15 Olympiakos · Away18 Dec 2019 18 Dec 2019 L 1-4 15.74 0.31 0 −0.31 +2.75 −€1.00
M16 Panionios · Home22 Dec 2019 22 Dec 2019 W 2-0 1.65 1.95 3 +1.05 +3.80 +€0.65
M17 Xanthi · Away5 Jan 2020 5 Jan 2020 L 1-2 2.66 1.38 0 −1.38 +2.43 −€1.00
M18 Aris · Home11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 D 0-0 3.05 1.24 1 −0.24 +2.19 −€1.00
M19 AEK · Away19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 L 0-3 7.91 0.57 0 −0.57 +1.62 −€1.00
M20 Panetolikos · Home22 Jan 2020 22 Jan 2020 D 2-2 1.75 1.87 1 −0.87 +0.75 −€1.00
M21 Panathinaikos · Home25 Jan 2020 25 Jan 2020 L 0-2 3.33 1.15 0 −1.15 −0.41 −€1.00
M22 OFI Crete · Away1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 D 0-0 4.92 0.84 1 +0.16 −0.24 −€1.00
M23 Lamia · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 D 0-0 3.14 1.22 1 −0.22 −0.46 −€1.00
M24 PAOK · Home15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 L 1-2 8.63 0.53 0 −0.53 −0.99 −€1.00
M25 Volos NFC · Away23 Feb 2020 23 Feb 2020 D 0-0 2.60 1.38 1 −0.38 −1.37 −€1.00
M26 Asteras Tripolis · Home1 Mar 2020 1 Mar 2020 W 3-0 2.78 1.30 3 +1.70 +0.32 +€1.78
M27 Asteras Tripolis · Home7 Jun 2020 7 Jun 2020 L 1-2 2.78 1.32 0 −1.32 −1.00 −€1.00
M28 Panetolikos · Away15 Jun 2020 15 Jun 2020 L 0-3 4.17 0.94 0 −0.94 −1.94 −€1.00
M29 Volos NFC · Home22 Jun 2020 22 Jun 2020 W 3-1 2.00 1.69 3 +1.31 −0.63 +€1.00
M30 Atromitos · Away29 Jun 2020 29 Jun 2020 L 0-3 3.95 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.64 −€1.00
M31 Panionios · Home6 Jul 2020 6 Jul 2020 D 0-0 3.34 1.13 1 −0.13 −1.77 −€1.00
M32 Lamia · Away11 Jul 2020 11 Jul 2020 D 0-0 3.18 1.24 1 −0.24 −2.02 −€1.00
M33 Xanthi · Home18 Jul 2020 18 Jul 2020 D 0-0 2.92 1.27 1 −0.27 −2.29 −€1.00
Total 38.29 36 −2.29 −€9.10