← J1 League 2019

Sagan Tosu

Season 2019 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWDLL

Points

36

Points expected by the market

38.26

Gap

−2.26

Yield

−2.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 24 26.77 −2.77 −5.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 12 11.50 +0.50 +3.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Nagoya Grampus · Home23 Feb 2019 23 Feb 2019 L 0-4 2.47 1.42 0 −1.42 −1.42 −€1.00
M2 Vissel Kobe · Away2 Mar 2019 2 Mar 2019 L 0-1 4.67 0.87 0 −0.87 −2.28 −€1.00
M3 FC Tokyo · Away10 Mar 2019 10 Mar 2019 L 0-2 5.91 0.72 0 −0.72 −3.01 −€1.00
M4 Iwata · Home17 Mar 2019 17 Mar 2019 W 1-0 2.53 1.42 3 +1.58 −1.42 +€1.53
M5 Yokohama F. Marinos · Away29 Mar 2019 29 Mar 2019 D 0-0 4.98 0.79 1 +0.21 −1.22 −€1.00
M6 Vegalta Sendai · Away6 Apr 2019 6 Apr 2019 L 0-3 3.11 1.20 0 −1.20 −2.42 −€1.00
M7 Kawasaki Frontale · Home14 Apr 2019 14 Apr 2019 L 0-1 5.41 0.77 0 −0.77 −3.19 −€1.00
M8 Yamaga · Away20 Apr 2019 20 Apr 2019 L 0-1 3.35 1.15 0 −1.15 −4.34 −€1.00
M9 Shonan Bellmare · Home28 Apr 2019 28 Apr 2019 L 0-2 2.48 1.44 0 −1.44 −5.78 −€1.00
M10 Oita Trinita · Away4 May 2019 4 May 2019 L 0-2 3.95 0.99 0 −0.99 −6.77 −€1.00
M11 Gamba Osaka · Home11 May 2019 11 May 2019 W 3-1 3.24 1.15 3 +1.85 −4.92 +€2.24
M12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away17 May 2019 17 May 2019 W 1-0 4.21 0.96 3 +2.04 −2.88 +€3.21
M13 Kashima Antlers · Home26 May 2019 26 May 2019 W 1-0 3.88 1.01 3 +1.99 −0.89 +€2.88
M14 Cerezo Osaka · Home1 Jun 2019 1 Jun 2019 L 0-1 3.31 1.16 0 −1.16 −2.05 −€1.00
M15 Urawa Reds · Away15 Jun 2019 15 Jun 2019 L 1-2 3.48 1.10 0 −1.10 −3.16 −€1.00
M16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away22 Jun 2019 22 Jun 2019 L 1-3 4.12 0.95 0 −0.95 −4.11 −€1.00
M17 Shimizu S-Pulse · Home30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2019 W 4-2 2.65 1.34 3 +1.66 −2.45 +€1.65
M18 Kawasaki Frontale · Away7 Jul 2019 7 Jul 2019 D 0-0 6.40 0.67 1 +0.33 −2.11 −€1.00
M19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home13 Jul 2019 13 Jul 2019 L 0-2 3.46 1.11 0 −1.11 −3.22 −€1.00
M20 Kashima Antlers · Away20 Jul 2019 20 Jul 2019 L 1-2 4.07 0.96 0 −0.96 −4.18 −€1.00
M21 Oita Trinita · Home4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 D 2-2 2.53 1.41 1 −0.41 −4.60 −€1.00
M22 Cerezo Osaka · Away11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 W 2-1 5.30 0.79 3 +2.21 −2.39 +€4.30
M23 Shonan Bellmare · Away17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 W 3-2 3.03 1.21 3 +1.79 −0.60 +€2.03
M24 Vissel Kobe · Home23 Aug 2019 23 Aug 2019 L 1-6 3.37 1.09 0 −1.09 −1.69 −€1.00
M25 Vegalta Sendai · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 W 2-1 2.70 1.32 3 +1.68 −0.01 +€1.70
M26 Gamba Osaka · Away14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 0-1 4.02 0.95 0 −0.95 −0.96 −€1.00
M27 Urawa Reds · Home28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 D 3-3 2.66 1.34 1 −0.34 −1.31 −€1.00
M28 FC Tokyo · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 W 2-1 3.49 1.09 3 +1.91 +0.61 +€2.49
M29 Iwata · Away19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 D 2-2 2.65 1.34 1 −0.34 +0.26 −€1.00
M30 Yokohama F. Marinos · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 L 1-2 3.18 1.14 0 −1.14 −0.88 −€1.00
M31 Yamaga · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 W 1-0 2.24 1.56 3 +1.44 +0.56 +€1.24
M32 Nagoya Grampus · Away23 Nov 2019 23 Nov 2019 D 0-0 3.70 1.05 1 −0.05 +0.51 −€1.00
M33 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 L 0-2 2.30 1.48 0 −1.48 −0.97 −€1.00
M34 Shimizu S-Pulse · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 0-1 2.78 1.29 0 −1.29 −2.26 −€1.00
Total 38.26 36 −2.26 −€0.73