← J1 League 2020

Sagan Tosu

Season 2020 · 34 matches played

Last 5DDDWD

Points

36

Points expected by the market

38.52

Gap

−2.52

Yield

−30.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 1 3.61 −2.61 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 18 19.73 −1.73 −27.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 17 17 15.18 +1.82 −25.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Kawasaki Frontale · Away22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 D 0-0 7.05 0.61 1 +0.39 +0.39 −€1.00
M2 Oita Trinita · Away4 Jul 2020 4 Jul 2020 L 0-2 3.13 1.20 0 −1.20 −0.80 −€1.00
M3 Vissel Kobe · Home8 Jul 2020 8 Jul 2020 L 0-1 3.95 0.97 0 −0.97 −1.77 −€1.00
M4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home12 Jul 2020 12 Jul 2020 D 0-0 3.82 1.02 1 −0.02 −1.79 −€1.00
M5 Nagoya Grampus · Away18 Jul 2020 18 Jul 2020 L 0-1 4.92 0.82 0 −0.82 −2.62 −€1.00
M6 Shimizu S-Pulse · Home22 Jul 2020 22 Jul 2020 D 1-1 2.36 1.47 1 −0.47 −3.08 −€1.00
M7 Cerezo Osaka · Home26 Jul 2020 26 Jul 2020 D 1-1 4.27 0.95 1 +0.05 −3.03 −€1.00
M8 FC Tokyo · Away1 Aug 2020 1 Aug 2020 W 3-2 4.77 0.85 3 +2.15 −0.88 +€3.77
M9 Kashima Antlers · Away8 Aug 2020 8 Aug 2020 L 0-2 4.92 0.83 0 −0.83 −1.71 −€1.00
M10 Yokohama FC · Home5 Sep 2020 5 Sep 2020 W 3-0 2.34 1.49 3 +1.51 −0.20 +€1.34
M11 Urawa Reds · Away9 Sep 2020 9 Sep 2020 D 2-2 3.50 1.07 1 −0.07 −0.27 −€1.00
M12 Kashiwa Reysol · Home13 Sep 2020 13 Sep 2020 W 2-1 3.19 1.15 3 +1.85 +1.58 +€2.19
M13 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home16 Sep 2020 16 Sep 2020 L 0-2 3.16 1.15 0 −1.15 +0.43 −€1.00
M14 Yokohama F. Marinos · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 L 1-3 3.19 1.12 0 −1.12 −0.69 −€1.00
M15 Vissel Kobe · Away23 Sep 2020 23 Sep 2020 L 3-4 4.83 0.81 0 −0.81 −1.50 −€1.00
M16 FC Tokyo · Home27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 W 3-0 2.92 1.24 3 +1.76 +0.26 +€1.92
M17 Yokohama F. Marinos · Away30 Sep 2020 30 Sep 2020 D 1-1 4.79 0.79 1 +0.21 +0.48 −€1.00
M18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 0-3 5.31 0.77 0 −0.77 −0.29 −€1.00
M19 Gamba Osaka · Home7 Oct 2020 7 Oct 2020 L 1-2 2.63 1.33 0 −1.33 −1.62 −€1.00
M20 Urawa Reds · Home10 Oct 2020 10 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.80 1.27 0 −1.27 −2.90 −€1.00
M21 Kashima Antlers · Home14 Oct 2020 14 Oct 2020 L 0-2 3.92 0.97 0 −0.97 −3.87 −€1.00
M22 Shimizu S-Pulse · Away18 Oct 2020 18 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.76 1.28 1 −0.28 −4.15 −€1.00
M23 Shonan Bellmare · Away21 Oct 2020 21 Oct 2020 D 0-0 2.49 1.42 1 −0.42 −4.57 −€1.00
M24 Shonan Bellmare · Home25 Oct 2020 25 Oct 2020 D 2-2 1.98 1.70 1 −0.70 −5.27 −€1.00
M25 Nagoya Grampus · Home3 Nov 2020 3 Nov 2020 D 0-0 3.64 1.05 1 −0.05 −5.32 −€1.00
M26 Vegalta Sendai · Away8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 W 3-0 2.41 1.45 3 +1.55 −3.77 +€1.41
M27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away14 Nov 2020 14 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.83 0.99 1 +0.01 −3.76 −€1.00
M28 Kashiwa Reysol · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 W 2-1 3.62 1.03 3 +1.97 −1.79 +€2.62
M29 Vegalta Sendai · Home25 Nov 2020 25 Nov 2020 L 0-1 1.69 1.91 0 −1.91 −3.70 −€1.00
M30 Gamba Osaka · Away29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.04 1.20 1 −0.20 −3.89 −€1.00
M31 Yokohama FC · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 D 1-1 2.34 1.49 1 −0.49 −4.38 −€1.00
M32 Kawasaki Frontale · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 D 1-1 5.49 0.73 1 +0.27 −4.11 −€1.00
M33 Cerezo Osaka · Away16 Dec 2020 16 Dec 2020 W 2-1 4.32 0.93 3 +2.07 −2.04 +€3.32
M34 Oita Trinita · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 D 2-2 2.38 1.48 1 −0.48 −2.52 −€1.00
Total 38.52 36 −2.52 −€10.43