Points
48Points expected by the market
52.87Gap
−4.87Yield
−14.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.61 | −33.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 29 | +1.34 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.60 | −39.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | 0.00 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.51 | +3.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.62 | −64.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.83 | +2.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.60 | −39.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.57 |
| M2 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away3 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +0.92 |
| M3 | FC Tokyo · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.23 |
| M4 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home10 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.15 |
| M5 | Yokohama FC · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.33 |
| M6 | Oita Trinita · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.31 |
| M7 | Shonan Bellmare · Away21 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +2.55 |
| M8 | Sagan Tosu · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.01 |
| M9 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away6 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +3.14 |
| M10 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +2.32 |
| M11 | Tokushima · Home14 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.74 |
| M12 | Urawa Reds · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.20 |
| M13 | Gamba Osaka · Home2 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.68 |
| M14 | Nagoya Grampus · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.62 |
| M15 | Vissel Kobe · Away15 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.34 |
| M16 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.93 |
| M17 | Kashima Antlers · Away26 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.81 |
| M18 | Vegalta Sendai · Away30 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.45 |
| M19 | Vissel Kobe · Home17 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.74 |
| M20 | FC Tokyo · Home21 Jul 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.07 |
| M21 | Sagan Tosu · Away24 Jul 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.40 |
| M22 | Vegalta Sendai · Home9 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −4.31 |
| M23 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away15 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −5.98 |
| M24 | Yokohama FC · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.79 |
| M25 | Shonan Bellmare · Home25 Aug 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.83 | −6.62 |
| M26 | Gamba Osaka · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.12 |
| M27 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away8 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.23 |
| M28 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.70 |
| M29 | Urawa Reds · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.78 |
| M30 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away22 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −3.83 |
| M31 | Kashima Antlers · Home26 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.98 |
| M32 | Oita Trinita · Away3 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −6.70 |
| M33 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home24 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −4.78 |
| M34 | Tokushima · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.17 |
| M35 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away7 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.37 |
| M36 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.45 |
| M37 | Nagoya Grampus · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −3.65 |
| M38 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.87 |
| Total | 48 | −4.87 | |||