Points
44Points expected by the market
44.26Gap
−0.26Yield
+5.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.08 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | +0.34 | −6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −0.69 | +23.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.08 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.46 | −39.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.33 | −41.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.79 | +19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +1.64 | +80.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vissel Kobe · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.41 |
| M3 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home7 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | −2.29 |
| M4 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away11 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.52 |
| M5 | Sagan Tosu · Away14 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.77 |
| M6 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home18 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.33 |
| M7 | Nagoya Grampus · Away22 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.36 |
| M8 | Cerezo Osaka · Away2 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −3.57 |
| M9 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −4.15 |
| M10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home12 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.19 |
| M11 | Urawa Reds · Home16 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −6.58 |
| M12 | FC Tokyo · Away22 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.64 |
| M13 | Tokushima · Home27 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −6.03 |
| M14 | Yokohama FC · Home30 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −4.74 |
| M15 | Shonan Bellmare · Away2 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −5.02 |
| M16 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away17 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.51 |
| M17 | Vissel Kobe · Home21 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.67 |
| M18 | Kashima Antlers · Home24 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.64 |
| M19 | Oita Trinita · Home27 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −4.27 |
| M20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away30 Jul 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −2.07 |
| M21 | Vegalta Sendai · Away3 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.43 |
| M22 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home6 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.23 |
| M23 | Tokushima · Away9 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.47 |
| M24 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away13 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.74 |
| M25 | FC Tokyo · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.00 |
| M26 | Yokohama FC · Away25 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.36 |
| M27 | Cerezo Osaka · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.59 |
| M28 | Vegalta Sendai · Home12 Sep 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −5.29 |
| M29 | Kashima Antlers · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.01 |
| M30 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home26 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −4.29 |
| M31 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.36 |
| M32 | Urawa Reds · Away16 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −5.07 |
| M33 | Sagan Tosu · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −3.17 |
| M34 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.45 | −0.71 |
| M35 | Oita Trinita · Away7 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.18 |
| M36 | Nagoya Grampus · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +0.34 |
| M37 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.15 |
| M38 | Shonan Bellmare · Home4 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.26 |
| Total | 44 | −0.26 | |||