Points
69Points expected by the market
66.06Gap
+2.94Yield
+10.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 8 | −3.18 | −46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 42 | +0.05 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 19 | +7.91 | +99.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 5 | −3.86 | −65.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +3.73 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.11 | +30.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.69 | −15.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 16 | +7.80 | +122.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.97 |
| M2 | Shonan Bellmare · Home10 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | −1.21 |
| M3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.89 |
| M4 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away17 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.02 | −3.90 |
| M5 | Nagoya Grampus · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.44 |
| M6 | Urawa Reds · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −7.22 |
| M7 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home7 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −6.01 |
| M8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away11 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −6.40 |
| M9 | Tokushima · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −4.99 |
| M10 | Vissel Kobe · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −5.68 |
| M11 | Yokohama FC · Away1 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −4.68 |
| M12 | FC Tokyo · Home9 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.29 |
| M13 | Nagoya Grampus · Away12 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.51 |
| M14 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home15 May 2021 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.13 |
| M15 | Sagan Tosu · Away22 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.50 |
| M16 | Cerezo Osaka · Home26 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.37 |
| M17 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away30 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.16 |
| M18 | Vegalta Sendai · Home20 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −2.38 |
| M19 | Oita Trinita · Away23 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | −3.25 |
| M20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home27 Jun 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.03 |
| M21 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away11 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −3.80 |
| M22 | Gamba Osaka · Away24 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.57 |
| M23 | Shonan Bellmare · Away9 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.49 |
| M24 | Tokushima · Home15 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.48 |
| M25 | Vissel Kobe · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.10 |
| M26 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away25 Aug 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.83 |
| M27 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.07 |
| M28 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.04 | −0.97 |
| M29 | Gamba Osaka · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.03 |
| M30 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home22 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.07 |
| M31 | Cerezo Osaka · Away26 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.36 |
| M32 | Yokohama FC · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.20 | −1.84 |
| M33 | FC Tokyo · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.29 |
| M34 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.24 |
| M35 | Urawa Reds · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.50 |
| M36 | Oita Trinita · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.20 | +1.30 |
| M37 | Sagan Tosu · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.26 |
| M38 | Vegalta Sendai · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.94 |
| Total | 69 | +2.94 | |||