Points
41Points expected by the market
49.76Gap
−8.76Yield
−13.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −1.00 | −23.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 22 | −8.05 | −14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.29 | −6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.16 | −4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −7.45 | −41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.49 | +31.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.60 | +20.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.21 | −19.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cerezo Osaka · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Shonan Bellmare · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.12 |
| M3 | Nagoya Grampus · Home10 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.40 |
| M4 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −1.91 |
| M5 | Sagan Tosu · Away17 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.33 |
| M6 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.85 |
| M7 | Yokohama FC · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −5.69 |
| M8 | Kashima Antlers · Away7 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.64 |
| M9 | Gamba Osaka · Home11 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −5.14 |
| M10 | Oita Trinita · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −3.61 |
| M11 | Tokushima · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.09 |
| M12 | Vegalta Sendai · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.65 |
| M13 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away9 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.14 |
| M14 | FC Tokyo · Home15 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −6.54 |
| M15 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away22 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −6.33 |
| M16 | Vissel Kobe · Home26 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −7.87 |
| M17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home29 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −9.38 |
| M18 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away19 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −10.29 |
| M19 | Urawa Reds · Home23 Jun 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −11.63 |
| M20 | Shonan Bellmare · Away27 Jun 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.68 | −9.94 |
| M21 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home3 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −10.74 |
| M22 | Kashima Antlers · Home11 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −8.71 |
| M23 | Vissel Kobe · Away9 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −6.78 |
| M24 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −6.51 |
| M25 | Sagan Tosu · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.96 |
| M26 | Tokushima · Away25 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −6.22 |
| M27 | Yokohama FC · Home29 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −4.89 |
| M28 | FC Tokyo · Away12 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −2.93 |
| M29 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.27 |
| M30 | Gamba Osaka · Away26 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.71 |
| M31 | Vegalta Sendai · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −6.57 |
| M32 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.91 |
| M33 | Urawa Reds · Away22 Oct 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.89 |
| M34 | Nagoya Grampus · Away3 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.85 |
| M35 | Cerezo Osaka · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −5.37 |
| M36 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −5.94 |
| M37 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.95 |
| M38 | Oita Trinita · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.81 | −8.76 |
| Total | 41 | −8.76 | |||