Points
49Points expected by the market
56.73Gap
−7.73Yield
−25.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 22 | −4.84 | −26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 21 | −2.94 | −24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.31 | −6.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 12 | −6.00 | −47.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.32 | −21.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.16 | +15.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.62 | −26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.26 | +25.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vegalta Sendai · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.05 |
| M2 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away7 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.25 |
| M3 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home10 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.40 |
| M4 | Kashima Antlers · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.34 |
| M5 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.57 |
| M6 | Oita Trinita · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.90 |
| M7 | Gamba Osaka · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.29 |
| M8 | Yokohama FC · Away7 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.38 |
| M9 | Shonan Bellmare · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +1.61 |
| M10 | Nagoya Grampus · Away14 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away18 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.87 |
| M12 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.01 |
| M13 | Vissel Kobe · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.48 |
| M14 | Sagan Tosu · Away8 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.86 |
| M15 | Gamba Osaka · Away12 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −1.54 |
| M16 | Tokushima · Home15 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −3.24 |
| M17 | Cerezo Osaka · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.67 |
| M18 | Urawa Reds · Home26 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.16 |
| M19 | FC Tokyo · Away30 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.65 |
| M20 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home19 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.49 |
| M21 | Sagan Tosu · Home3 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.22 |
| M22 | Yokohama FC · Home11 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.26 | −4.48 |
| M23 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away9 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −5.24 |
| M24 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −5.18 |
| M25 | Urawa Reds · Away25 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −6.48 |
| M26 | Oita Trinita · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.47 |
| M27 | Vissel Kobe · Home5 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −5.86 |
| M28 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −6.94 |
| M29 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −5.29 |
| M30 | Cerezo Osaka · Home22 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −6.97 |
| M31 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away26 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −5.22 |
| M32 | Nagoya Grampus · Home3 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −3.52 |
| M33 | Vegalta Sendai · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −5.34 |
| M34 | Kashima Antlers · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −6.60 |
| M35 | Shonan Bellmare · Away7 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −6.89 |
| M36 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −8.20 |
| M37 | FC Tokyo · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −9.65 |
| M38 | Tokushima · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.92 | −7.73 |
| Total | 49 | −7.73 | |||