Points
28Points expected by the market
37.51Gap
−9.51Yield
−49.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 9 | −8.86 | −58.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 19 | −0.65 | −43.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −5.92 | −46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.29 | −44.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.94 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −0.94 | −43.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.27 |
| M2 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.39 |
| M3 | Sagan Tosu · Away10 Mar 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.42 |
| M4 | Shonan Bellmare · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.64 |
| M5 | FC Tokyo · Away21 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.39 |
| M6 | Vissel Kobe · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.54 |
| M7 | Tokushima · Away7 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −5.45 |
| M8 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home11 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | −5.22 |
| M9 | Yokohama FC · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −5.69 |
| M10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.53 |
| M11 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −4.68 |
| M12 | Urawa Reds · Away9 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.69 |
| M13 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away12 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.71 | −4.98 |
| M14 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home15 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.41 |
| M15 | Oita Trinita · Home22 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −4.79 |
| M16 | Nagoya Grampus · Away26 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −2.60 |
| M17 | Cerezo Osaka · Home30 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.68 |
| M18 | Kashima Antlers · Away20 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | −2.27 |
| M19 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home23 Jun 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.54 |
| M20 | Urawa Reds · Home3 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.57 |
| M21 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home10 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.53 |
| M22 | Gamba Osaka · Home3 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.88 |
| M23 | Cerezo Osaka · Away9 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | −4.73 |
| M24 | Yokohama FC · Home14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −5.16 |
| M25 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.48 | −5.64 |
| M26 | FC Tokyo · Home25 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.75 |
| M27 | Sagan Tosu · Home29 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −7.77 |
| M28 | Gamba Osaka · Away12 Sep 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.96 | −5.81 |
| M29 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.84 |
| M30 | Tokushima · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −8.23 |
| M31 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −8.11 |
| M32 | Oita Trinita · Away17 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −9.36 |
| M33 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −7.26 |
| M34 | Vissel Kobe · Away3 Nov 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.99 |
| M35 | Nagoya Grampus · Home7 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −7.87 |
| M36 | Shonan Bellmare · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −9.04 |
| M37 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −9.01 |
| M38 | Kashima Antlers · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −9.51 |
| Total | 28 | −9.51 | |||