Points
79Points expected by the market
69.98Gap
+9.02Yield
+7.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 20 | −0.08 | −7.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 51 | +10.40 | +26.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.62 | −20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +1.21 | +3.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +5.25 | +34.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.29 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 29 | +5.15 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.25 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.68 |
| M2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home7 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.21 |
| M3 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away10 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.08 |
| M4 | Urawa Reds · Home14 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.95 |
| M5 | Tokushima · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +1.84 |
| M6 | Shonan Bellmare · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +0.74 |
| M7 | Cerezo Osaka · Home6 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.84 |
| M8 | Vegalta Sendai · Away11 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +0.82 |
| M9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away16 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.48 |
| M10 | Yokohama FC · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +3.15 |
| M11 | FC Tokyo · Away1 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.46 |
| M12 | Vissel Kobe · Home9 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.56 |
| M13 | Kashima Antlers · Away15 May 2021 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.38 | +4.18 |
| M14 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home22 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +3.18 |
| M15 | Oita Trinita · Away26 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.11 |
| M16 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home30 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +4.98 |
| M17 | Sagan Tosu · Home23 Jun 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.08 |
| M18 | Tokushima · Away27 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +7.17 |
| M19 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away3 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +8.18 |
| M20 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home10 Jul 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +9.03 |
| M21 | Gamba Osaka · Away6 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +10.06 |
| M22 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away9 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +9.19 |
| M23 | Nagoya Grampus · Home12 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.45 |
| M24 | Oita Trinita · Home15 Aug 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +11.12 |
| M25 | Vegalta Sendai · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +11.76 |
| M26 | Sagan Tosu · Away25 Aug 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +13.09 |
| M27 | Kashima Antlers · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +11.43 |
| M28 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +12.76 |
| M29 | Nagoya Grampus · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +11.26 |
| M30 | Yokohama FC · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.29 | +9.97 |
| M31 | Shonan Bellmare · Away1 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +11.06 |
| M32 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +12.12 |
| M33 | Cerezo Osaka · Away24 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | +10.44 |
| M34 | Gamba Osaka · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.28 | +8.16 |
| M35 | FC Tokyo · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 8-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.42 |
| M36 | Urawa Reds · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +7.88 |
| M37 | Vissel Kobe · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.36 |
| M38 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +9.02 |
| Total | 79 | +9.02 | |||