Points
43Points expected by the market
44.19Gap
−1.19Yield
−5.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +4.36 | +50.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −3.18 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.38 | −42.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 18 | +7.89 | +100.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.94 | −4.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.53 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.24 | −25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.39 | −34.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Urawa Reds · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.73 |
| M2 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away26 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.29 |
| M3 | Kyoto · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −0.50 |
| M4 | Yokohama FC · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.55 |
| M5 | Nagoya Grampus · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.38 |
| M6 | Sagan Tosu · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.37 |
| M7 | Shonan Bellmare · Home9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.83 |
| M8 | Cerezo Osaka · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −3.25 |
| M9 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.13 |
| M10 | Albirex Niigata · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.26 |
| M11 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away3 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.12 |
| M12 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.16 |
| M13 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home12 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.30 |
| M14 | Kashima Antlers · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.25 |
| M15 | Vissel Kobe · Away27 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.08 |
| M16 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home3 Jun 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.31 |
| M17 | Gamba Osaka · Away11 Jun 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.55 |
| M18 | Nagoya Grampus · Home24 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.67 |
| M19 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home1 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.29 |
| M20 | Urawa Reds · Away8 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.24 |
| M21 | Kashima Antlers · Home16 Jul 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.61 |
| M22 | Cerezo Osaka · Away6 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.21 |
| M23 | Kyoto · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.57 |
| M24 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.68 |
| M25 | Vissel Kobe · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.53 |
| M26 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.03 |
| M27 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away15 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.87 |
| M28 | Sagan Tosu · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.56 |
| M29 | Gamba Osaka · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.84 |
| M30 | Yokohama FC · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.54 |
| M31 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.52 |
| M32 | Albirex Niigata · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.71 |
| M33 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.93 |
| M34 | Shonan Bellmare · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.19 |
| Total | 43 | −1.19 | |||