Points
38Points expected by the market
35.66Gap
+2.34Yield
−14.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +4.57 | +28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 13 | −3.66 | −52.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.43 | −7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.77 | −33.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +5.00 | +117.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −1.90 | −61.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shonan Bellmare · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Gamba Osaka · Away25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Nagoya Grampus · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.35 |
| M4 | Cerezo Osaka · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.67 |
| M5 | Vissel Kobe · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.84 |
| M6 | FC Tokyo · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.18 |
| M7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away9 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.38 |
| M8 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.77 |
| M9 | Kyoto · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.02 |
| M10 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home3 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.12 |
| M11 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.53 |
| M12 | Urawa Reds · Away10 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +1.65 |
| M13 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away14 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.63 |
| M14 | Albirex Niigata · Home20 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.42 |
| M15 | Kashima Antlers · Home27 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +3.45 |
| M16 | Yokohama FC · Away3 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.00 |
| M17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home10 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +4.94 |
| M18 | Shonan Bellmare · Away24 Jun 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +6.79 |
| M19 | Urawa Reds · Home1 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +5.81 |
| M20 | Cerezo Osaka · Home8 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +7.55 |
| M21 | Vissel Kobe · Away16 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +6.82 |
| M22 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home6 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | +5.43 |
| M23 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +5.54 |
| M24 | Kashima Antlers · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +4.71 |
| M25 | Gamba Osaka · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +4.47 |
| M26 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.55 |
| M27 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away15 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.76 |
| M28 | FC Tokyo · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.71 |
| M29 | Kyoto · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.15 |
| M30 | Albirex Niigata · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +4.17 |
| M31 | Nagoya Grampus · Away27 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.31 |
| M32 | Yokohama FC · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.05 |
| M33 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +3.36 |
| M34 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.34 |
| Total | 38 | +2.34 | |||