Points
29Points expected by the market
31.26Gap
−2.26Yield
−13.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.34 | −3.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 19 | −1.92 | −16.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.87 | −22.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +2.70 | +77.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.53 | +136.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −4.62 | −74.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nagoya Grampus · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.01 |
| M2 | Shonan Bellmare · Away24 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.80 |
| M3 | Kashima Antlers · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.79 |
| M4 | FC Tokyo · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.59 |
| M5 | Kyoto · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.84 |
| M6 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.03 |
| M7 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.62 |
| M8 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −5.21 |
| M9 | Gamba Osaka · Away23 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −5.01 |
| M10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.89 |
| M11 | Albirex Niigata · Home3 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −4.19 |
| M12 | Vissel Kobe · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.75 |
| M13 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away13 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −2.69 |
| M14 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home20 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.43 | −0.27 |
| M15 | Cerezo Osaka · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.04 |
| M16 | Sagan Tosu · Home3 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.30 |
| M17 | Urawa Reds · Home11 Jun 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | −1.97 |
| M18 | Kyoto · Away24 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.99 |
| M19 | Gamba Osaka · Home1 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.96 |
| M20 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away8 Jul 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.60 |
| M21 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away16 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −3.31 |
| M22 | Vissel Kobe · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.24 | −1.07 |
| M23 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.02 |
| M24 | Cerezo Osaka · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.07 |
| M25 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.85 |
| M26 | Nagoya Grampus · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.51 |
| M27 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home17 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.63 |
| M28 | Albirex Niigata · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.59 |
| M29 | Urawa Reds · Away29 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −2.35 |
| M30 | FC Tokyo · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.69 |
| M31 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.48 |
| M32 | Sagan Tosu · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.05 |
| M33 | Shonan Bellmare · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.36 |
| M34 | Kashima Antlers · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.26 |
| Total | 29 | −2.26 | |||