Points
42Points expected by the market
50.28Gap
−8.28Yield
−27.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.50 | −59.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 28 | −7.63 | −34.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.85 | +23.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.50 | −59.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −5.17 | −41.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.46 | −27.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.73 | +73.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sagan Tosu · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Gamba Osaka · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.23 |
| M3 | Nagoya Grampus · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.72 |
| M4 | Verdy · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.38 |
| M5 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.93 |
| M6 | Iwata · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.26 |
| M7 | Cerezo Osaka · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.67 |
| M8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.26 |
| M9 | Kyoto · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.66 |
| M10 | FC Tokyo · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.21 |
| M11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −2.11 |
| M12 | Vissel Kobe · Away6 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.98 |
| M13 | Urawa Reds · Home11 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.08 |
| M14 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home15 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.53 |
| M15 | Shonan Bellmare · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.76 |
| M16 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home25 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.33 |
| M17 | Machida · Away1 Jun 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −3.14 |
| M18 | Kashima Antlers · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −3.08 |
| M19 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home22 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.57 |
| M20 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away26 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | −3.16 |
| M21 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away29 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −1.65 |
| M22 | Sagan Tosu · Home6 Jul 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.43 |
| M23 | FC Tokyo · Away13 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.62 |
| M24 | Cerezo Osaka · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −2.67 |
| M25 | Iwata · Home7 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −3.52 |
| M26 | Kyoto · Home12 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −2.18 |
| M27 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.53 |
| M28 | Machida · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.78 |
| M29 | Shonan Bellmare · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.66 |
| M30 | Nagoya Grampus · Away18 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.68 |
| M31 | Vissel Kobe · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.66 |
| M32 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.79 |
| M33 | Kashima Antlers · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.17 |
| M34 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away18 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.57 |
| M35 | Verdy · Home23 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −6.20 |
| M36 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.40 |
| M37 | Gamba Osaka · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −7.85 |
| M38 | Urawa Reds · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −8.28 |
| Total | 42 | −8.28 | |||