Points
52Points expected by the market
51.89Gap
+0.11Yield
−12.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 12 | −3.52 | −35.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 39 | +8.22 | +18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.59 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.22 | −46.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +7.19 | +50.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.70 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.03 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.49 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Tokyo · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.54 |
| M2 | Kashima Antlers · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.69 |
| M3 | Verdy · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.76 |
| M4 | Sagan Tosu · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.14 |
| M5 | Shonan Bellmare · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.46 |
| M6 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away3 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +3.26 |
| M7 | Albirex Niigata · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.98 |
| M8 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +6.64 |
| M9 | Nagoya Grampus · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +5.23 |
| M10 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +4.51 |
| M11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +3.63 |
| M12 | Gamba Osaka · Away6 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +2.17 |
| M13 | Vissel Kobe · Home11 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.12 |
| M14 | Machida · Away15 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +0.24 |
| M15 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away18 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.99 |
| M16 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.94 |
| M17 | Kyoto · Away1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.26 |
| M18 | Urawa Reds · Home15 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.90 |
| M19 | Iwata · Away22 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.39 |
| M20 | Sagan Tosu · Home26 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.50 |
| M21 | Nagoya Grampus · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.95 |
| M22 | Verdy · Away6 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +4.47 |
| M23 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away14 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +4.24 |
| M24 | Albirex Niigata · Home20 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +2.56 |
| M25 | Machida · Home7 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.35 |
| M26 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.56 |
| M27 | Kyoto · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.05 |
| M28 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.04 |
| M29 | Vissel Kobe · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.88 |
| M30 | Shonan Bellmare · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.04 |
| M31 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.30 |
| M32 | Gamba Osaka · Home2 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.43 |
| M33 | Urawa Reds · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.26 |
| M34 | Iwata · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +1.48 |
| M35 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.19 |
| M36 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.64 |
| M37 | Kashima Antlers · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.46 |
| M38 | FC Tokyo · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.11 |
| Total | 52 | +0.11 | |||