Points
54Points expected by the market
46.29Gap
+7.71Yield
+26.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.55 | +21.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 29 | +1.19 | +5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 14 | +3.98 | +71.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.10 | −2.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −3.76 | −35.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.03 | +156.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.45 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +4.95 | +54.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.05 | +40.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cerezo Osaka · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.17 |
| M2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.10 |
| M3 | Vissel Kobe · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.26 |
| M4 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.57 |
| M5 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.48 |
| M6 | Urawa Reds · Home3 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +1.56 |
| M7 | Kashima Antlers · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.48 |
| M8 | Verdy · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +3.29 |
| M9 | Machida · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.90 |
| M10 | Albirex Niigata · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.74 |
| M11 | Kyoto · Home3 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.04 |
| M12 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away6 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +6.74 |
| M13 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home11 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | +6.40 |
| M14 | Nagoya Grampus · Away15 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +5.14 |
| M15 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +4.87 |
| M16 | Gamba Osaka · Home26 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +3.52 |
| M17 | Sagan Tosu · Away31 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.97 |
| M18 | Iwata · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +4.25 |
| M19 | Shonan Bellmare · Away22 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.99 |
| M20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home26 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.27 |
| M21 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home30 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +5.87 |
| M22 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away6 Jul 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +4.90 |
| M23 | Albirex Niigata · Home13 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.35 |
| M24 | Kashima Antlers · Away20 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +5.50 |
| M25 | Gamba Osaka · Away7 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | +5.44 |
| M26 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.36 |
| M27 | Verdy · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +4.14 |
| M28 | Kyoto · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.02 |
| M29 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.46 |
| M30 | Nagoya Grampus · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.19 |
| M31 | Urawa Reds · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +6.19 |
| M32 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +8.11 |
| M33 | Sagan Tosu · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +7.36 |
| M34 | Vissel Kobe · Away18 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.42 | +9.78 |
| M35 | Shonan Bellmare · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +8.40 |
| M36 | Machida · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +7.41 |
| M37 | Iwata · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +6.08 |
| M38 | Cerezo Osaka · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +7.71 |
| Total | 54 | +7.71 | |||