Points
37Points expected by the market
43.79Gap
−6.79Yield
−28.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.57 | +4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 20 | −6.63 | −30.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −0.73 | −35.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.21 | +39.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.15 | −15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.40 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −2.48 | −61.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.12 | −24.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.44 |
| M2 | Sagan Tosu · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.64 | −2.08 |
| M3 | Urawa Reds · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.33 |
| M4 | Machida · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.60 |
| M5 | Vissel Kobe · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.74 | −5.34 |
| M6 | Nagoya Grampus · Home3 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −6.89 |
| M7 | Gamba Osaka · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −5.34 |
| M8 | Albirex Niigata · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.47 |
| M9 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −5.39 |
| M10 | Shonan Bellmare · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.57 | −5.96 |
| M11 | Cerezo Osaka · Away3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.84 |
| M12 | FC Tokyo · Home6 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.27 |
| M13 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.09 |
| M14 | Iwata · Home15 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −6.76 |
| M15 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −7.75 |
| M16 | Kashima Antlers · Home25 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.90 |
| M17 | Verdy · Away2 Jun 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.13 | −10.04 |
| M18 | Kyoto · Away15 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −11.17 |
| M19 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home23 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −12.28 |
| M20 | FC Tokyo · Away26 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −13.29 |
| M21 | Albirex Niigata · Home29 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −14.51 |
| M22 | Kashima Antlers · Away6 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −15.18 |
| M23 | Vissel Kobe · Home13 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −14.86 |
| M24 | Urawa Reds · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.12 | −12.74 |
| M25 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away7 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.61 |
| M26 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −14.06 |
| M27 | Sagan Tosu · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.45 | −12.62 |
| M28 | Iwata · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −10.93 |
| M29 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −9.00 |
| M30 | Verdy · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −10.34 |
| M31 | Machida · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −10.12 |
| M32 | Kyoto · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −8.42 |
| M33 | Gamba Osaka · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −9.54 |
| M34 | Nagoya Grampus · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −7.52 |
| M35 | Cerezo Osaka · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −7.95 |
| M36 | Shonan Bellmare · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −8.16 |
| M37 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −8.66 |
| M38 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.79 |
| Total | 37 | −6.79 | |||