Points
38Points expected by the market
41.42Gap
−3.42Yield
−6.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 22 | −3.33 | −17.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +1.63 | +12.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.12 | −4.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.62 | +22.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.20 | −47.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 12 | +1.02 | +9.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vissel Kobe · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.90 |
| M2 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away1 Mar 2024 | W 5-4 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.30 |
| M3 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.11 |
| M4 | Gamba Osaka · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.05 |
| M5 | Kashima Antlers · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.92 |
| M6 | Albirex Niigata · Home3 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.45 |
| M7 | Kyoto · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.37 |
| M8 | Nagoya Grampus · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.07 |
| M9 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.20 |
| M10 | Machida · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.47 |
| M11 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.56 |
| M12 | Verdy · Away6 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.41 |
| M13 | Sagan Tosu · Home11 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.32 |
| M14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away15 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.39 |
| M15 | Urawa Reds · Home19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −2.38 |
| M16 | Shonan Bellmare · Home25 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.61 |
| M17 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away1 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.17 |
| M18 | FC Tokyo · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Cerezo Osaka · Home22 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.39 |
| M20 | Verdy · Home26 Jun 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.29 |
| M21 | Urawa Reds · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.61 |
| M22 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home6 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.77 |
| M23 | Shonan Bellmare · Away14 Jul 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.83 |
| M24 | Kyoto · Home20 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.16 |
| M25 | Albirex Niigata · Away7 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | −3.06 |
| M26 | Kashima Antlers · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −0.88 |
| M27 | Machida · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.58 |
| M28 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.99 |
| M29 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.78 |
| M30 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.07 |
| M31 | Nagoya Grampus · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.05 |
| M32 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.72 |
| M33 | Cerezo Osaka · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −0.68 |
| M34 | Vissel Kobe · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.22 |
| M35 | Gamba Osaka · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.39 |
| M36 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.54 |
| M37 | FC Tokyo · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.92 |
| M38 | Sagan Tosu · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.42 |
| Total | 38 | −3.42 | |||