Points
65Points expected by the market
58.06Gap
+6.94Yield
+17.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 27 | −3.10 | −24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 32 | +7.98 | +41.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.18 | +145.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.50 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +4.09 | +47.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 3 | −5.60 | −56.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.89 | +38.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.18 | +145.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nagoya Grampus · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.68 |
| M2 | Cerezo Osaka · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.14 |
| M3 | Machida · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.21 |
| M4 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.46 |
| M5 | Iwata · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.58 |
| M6 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.96 |
| M7 | FC Tokyo · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.67 |
| M8 | Kyoto · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.48 |
| M9 | Sagan Tosu · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.37 |
| M10 | Gamba Osaka · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.33 |
| M11 | Shonan Bellmare · Home3 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.55 |
| M12 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away6 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.32 |
| M13 | Verdy · Home12 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.80 | +2.51 |
| M14 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away15 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +4.70 |
| M15 | Vissel Kobe · Home19 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +6.52 |
| M16 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away25 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.95 |
| M17 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home1 Jun 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.30 |
| M18 | Albirex Niigata · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +8.52 |
| M19 | Urawa Reds · Away22 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +8.33 |
| M20 | Gamba Osaka · Home26 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +7.63 |
| M21 | Vissel Kobe · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +6.62 |
| M22 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home6 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.51 |
| M23 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away14 Jul 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | +6.08 |
| M24 | FC Tokyo · Home20 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +7.17 |
| M25 | Sagan Tosu · Home7 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +8.19 |
| M26 | Iwata · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +6.26 |
| M27 | Urawa Reds · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +5.69 |
| M28 | Verdy · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +4.25 |
| M29 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +4.06 |
| M30 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.66 |
| M31 | Shonan Bellmare · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.36 |
| M32 | Albirex Niigata · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.04 |
| M33 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | +3.19 |
| M34 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away1 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.93 |
| M35 | Nagoya Grampus · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +4.17 |
| M36 | Kyoto · Away17 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.71 |
| M37 | Cerezo Osaka · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.20 |
| M38 | Machida · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +6.94 |
| Total | 65 | +6.94 | |||