Points
41Points expected by the market
55.18Gap
−14.18Yield
−43.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 19 | −3.61 | −28.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 18 | −10.68 | −62.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.12 | +6.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.52 | −25.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −4.00 | −57.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.10 | −39.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −6.68 | −64.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.25 | +113.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kyoto · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.61 |
| M2 | Vissel Kobe · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +1.46 |
| M3 | Iwata · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.96 |
| M4 | Nagoya Grampus · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.30 |
| M5 | Albirex Niigata · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.07 |
| M6 | Cerezo Osaka · Home3 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.56 |
| M7 | Verdy · Away7 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.12 |
| M8 | Urawa Reds · Home12 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.87 |
| M9 | Sagan Tosu · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +0.92 |
| M10 | Machida · Away3 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.30 |
| M11 | Kashima Antlers · Home6 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.76 |
| M12 | FC Tokyo · Away11 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.11 |
| M13 | Shonan Bellmare · Home15 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.84 |
| M14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away25 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.29 |
| M16 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away29 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.04 |
| M17 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home2 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.71 |
| M18 | Gamba Osaka · Away16 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.85 |
| M19 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home22 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.89 |
| M20 | Kyoto · Away26 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −5.59 |
| M21 | Sagan Tosu · Away30 Jun 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −4.39 |
| M22 | FC Tokyo · Home6 Jul 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.16 |
| M23 | Nagoya Grampus · Away14 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.52 |
| M24 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home20 Jul 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.97 |
| M25 | Gamba Osaka · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −6.58 |
| M26 | Shonan Bellmare · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −4.96 |
| M27 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.77 |
| M28 | Verdy · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.21 |
| M29 | Iwata · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −9.18 |
| M30 | Kashima Antlers · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −9.51 |
| M31 | Cerezo Osaka · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −9.96 |
| M32 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −8.74 |
| M33 | Machida · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −9.14 |
| M34 | Urawa Reds · Away23 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −10.49 |
| M35 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −11.99 |
| M36 | Albirex Niigata · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −12.49 |
| M37 | Vissel Kobe · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −12.58 |
| M38 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −14.18 |
| Total | 41 | −14.18 | |||