Points
52Points expected by the market
57.80Gap
−5.80Yield
−23.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 24 | −5.23 | −33.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 24 | −0.53 | −8.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.19 | −33.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.15 | +7.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.04 | −33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.68 | −19.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shonan Bellmare · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Iwata · Home1 Mar 2024 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.97 | −0.66 |
| M3 | Kyoto · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.44 |
| M4 | Kashima Antlers · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.80 |
| M5 | FC Tokyo · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.50 |
| M6 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away3 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.93 |
| M7 | Machida · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.43 |
| M8 | Cerezo Osaka · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.80 |
| M9 | Verdy · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −6.48 |
| M10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | −6.31 |
| M11 | Urawa Reds · Home3 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −4.78 |
| M12 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away6 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −5.44 |
| M13 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home11 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −4.39 |
| M14 | Sagan Tosu · Away15 May 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.74 | −6.14 |
| M15 | Gamba Osaka · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.56 |
| M16 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home25 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −8.19 |
| M17 | Nagoya Grampus · Home2 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.71 |
| M18 | Vissel Kobe · Away16 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.71 |
| M19 | Albirex Niigata · Away22 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −7.96 |
| M20 | Shonan Bellmare · Home26 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −8.59 |
| M21 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −8.74 |
| M22 | Iwata · Away6 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −9.32 |
| M23 | Cerezo Osaka · Home14 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −9.83 |
| M24 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | −8.12 |
| M25 | Vissel Kobe · Home7 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −6.36 |
| M26 | FC Tokyo · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.02 |
| M27 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.63 |
| M28 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −8.33 |
| M29 | Sagan Tosu · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | −7.53 |
| M30 | Nagoya Grampus · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −8.97 |
| M31 | Albirex Niigata · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −7.59 |
| M32 | Machida · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −5.77 |
| M33 | Gamba Osaka · Home18 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −6.42 |
| M34 | Kashima Antlers · Home1 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −7.89 |
| M35 | Kyoto · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −8.25 |
| M36 | Urawa Reds · Away22 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −8.60 |
| M37 | Verdy · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.79 | −6.81 |
| M38 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.80 |
| Total | 52 | −5.80 | |||