Points
47Points expected by the market
44.35Gap
+2.65Yield
+14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.75 | +92.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 16 | −6.40 | −47.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 22 | +5.29 | +60.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.75 | +92.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.69 | −72.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.29 | −0.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 20 | +8.14 | +122.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 |
| M2 | Shonan Bellmare · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.67 |
| M3 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +0.37 |
| M4 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home17 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.85 |
| M5 | Verdy · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.13 |
| M6 | Gamba Osaka · Away3 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.23 |
| M7 | Iwata · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.76 |
| M8 | Kashima Antlers · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.64 |
| M9 | Albirex Niigata · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.94 |
| M10 | Vissel Kobe · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.38 | −2.56 |
| M11 | FC Tokyo · Away3 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.58 |
| M12 | Machida · Home6 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.65 |
| M13 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home11 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −5.91 |
| M14 | Urawa Reds · Away15 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.71 |
| M15 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.74 | −7.45 |
| M16 | Nagoya Grampus · Away26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −7.37 |
| M17 | Cerezo Osaka · Home1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −7.41 |
| M18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home15 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.01 |
| M19 | Sagan Tosu · Away22 Jun 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −7.39 |
| M20 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home26 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.42 |
| M21 | Shonan Bellmare · Away30 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −5.48 |
| M22 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away7 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −3.42 |
| M23 | Urawa Reds · Home14 Jul 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.49 |
| M24 | Iwata · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.87 |
| M25 | Nagoya Grampus · Home7 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.10 |
| M26 | Albirex Niigata · Away12 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.17 |
| M27 | Cerezo Osaka · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.72 |
| M28 | FC Tokyo · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.10 |
| M29 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away13 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +4.10 |
| M30 | Gamba Osaka · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +3.59 |
| M31 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +2.15 |
| M32 | Vissel Kobe · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.18 |
| M33 | Sagan Tosu · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.15 |
| M34 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.36 | +4.50 |
| M35 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.13 |
| M36 | Kashima Antlers · Home17 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.87 |
| M37 | Machida · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +3.02 |
| M38 | Verdy · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.65 |
| Total | 47 | +2.65 | |||