Points
50Points expected by the market
49.48Gap
+0.52Yield
+21.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.94 | −61.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 34 | +1.85 | +28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 11 | +2.61 | +50.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.94 | −61.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.31 | +58.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −3.46 | −2.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 11 | +4.66 | +93.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kashima Antlers · Home23 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.36 |
| M2 | Machida · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.93 |
| M3 | Albirex Niigata · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.11 |
| M4 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −2.15 |
| M5 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.46 |
| M6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away3 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.39 |
| M7 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.98 |
| M8 | Iwata · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.73 |
| M9 | Cerezo Osaka · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.46 |
| M10 | Urawa Reds · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.54 |
| M11 | Vissel Kobe · Home3 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.47 |
| M12 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away6 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.74 |
| M13 | Gamba Osaka · Home11 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.22 |
| M14 | FC Tokyo · Home15 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.78 |
| M15 | Sagan Tosu · Away18 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.34 |
| M16 | Kyoto · Home26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +5.55 |
| M17 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away2 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +4.35 |
| M18 | Shonan Bellmare · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.65 |
| M19 | Verdy · Away22 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +2.26 |
| M20 | Urawa Reds · Home26 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.84 |
| M21 | Cerezo Osaka · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.30 |
| M22 | Machida · Away6 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.22 |
| M23 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home14 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.44 |
| M24 | Vissel Kobe · Away20 Jul 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.62 |
| M25 | Kyoto · Away7 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.85 |
| M26 | Verdy · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.71 |
| M27 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.27 |
| M28 | Shonan Bellmare · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.48 |
| M29 | FC Tokyo · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.06 |
| M30 | Albirex Niigata · Home18 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.71 |
| M31 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.45 |
| M32 | Iwata · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.71 |
| M33 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.37 |
| M34 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +1.61 |
| M35 | Gamba Osaka · Away23 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.37 |
| M36 | Kashima Antlers · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.41 |
| M37 | Sagan Tosu · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.95 | −1.54 |
| M38 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.52 |
| Total | 50 | +0.52 | |||