← J1 League 2024

Sagan Tosu

Season 2024 · 38 matches played

Last 5LWLWW

Points

35

Points expected by the market

36.57

Gap

−1.57

Yield

+7.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 11 16.56 −5.56 −35.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 24 24 20.01 +3.99 +32.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Albirex Niigata · Home24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 L 1-2 2.94 1.26 0 −1.26 −1.26 −€1.00
M2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 W 4-0 3.43 1.09 3 +1.91 +0.65 +€2.43
M3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 L 0-4 7.22 0.59 0 −0.59 +0.06 −€1.00
M4 Cerezo Osaka · Home16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 L 0-2 3.49 1.09 0 −1.09 −1.03 −€1.00
M5 Machida · Away30 Mar 2024 30 Mar 2024 L 1-3 4.92 0.83 0 −0.83 −1.86 −€1.00
M6 Vissel Kobe · Home3 Apr 2024 3 Apr 2024 D 0-0 5.98 0.70 1 +0.30 −1.57 −€1.00
M7 Urawa Reds · Away7 Apr 2024 7 Apr 2024 L 0-3 4.92 0.82 0 −0.82 −2.39 −€1.00
M8 Gamba Osaka · Away14 Apr 2024 14 Apr 2024 L 1-2 3.90 0.98 0 −0.98 −3.37 −€1.00
M9 Kashima Antlers · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 4-2 4.55 0.88 3 +2.12 −1.25 +€3.55
M10 Kashiwa Reysol · Away28 Apr 2024 28 Apr 2024 D 1-1 5.04 0.80 1 +0.20 −1.06 −€1.00
M11 Verdy · Home3 May 2024 3 May 2024 L 0-2 3.08 1.21 0 −1.21 −2.26 −€1.00
M12 Shonan Bellmare · Away6 May 2024 6 May 2024 L 1-2 3.71 1.03 0 −1.03 −3.29 −€1.00
M13 Iwata · Away11 May 2024 11 May 2024 W 3-0 3.74 1.01 3 +1.99 −1.30 +€2.74
M14 Kawasaki Frontale · Home15 May 2024 15 May 2024 W 5-2 3.71 1.01 3 +1.99 +0.69 +€2.71
M15 Nagoya Grampus · Home18 May 2024 18 May 2024 L 0-2 2.87 1.27 0 −1.27 −0.58 −€1.00
M16 FC Tokyo · Home31 May 2024 31 May 2024 L 0-1 3.05 1.19 0 −1.19 −1.77 −€1.00
M17 Avispa Fukuoka · Away16 Jun 2024 16 Jun 2024 L 0-2 3.49 1.11 0 −1.11 −2.88 −€1.00
M18 Kyoto · Home22 Jun 2024 22 Jun 2024 W 3-0 2.67 1.34 3 +1.66 −1.21 +€1.67
M19 Cerezo Osaka · Away26 Jun 2024 26 Jun 2024 L 0-1 4.55 0.86 0 −0.86 −2.08 −€1.00
M20 Kashiwa Reysol · Home30 Jun 2024 30 Jun 2024 L 1-4 4.02 0.95 0 −0.95 −3.03 −€1.00
M21 Yokohama F. Marinos · Away3 Jul 2024 3 Jul 2024 W 1-0 5.72 0.69 3 +2.31 −0.72 +€4.72
M22 Albirex Niigata · Away6 Jul 2024 6 Jul 2024 W 4-3 3.87 0.97 3 +2.03 +1.31 +€2.87
M23 Gamba Osaka · Home14 Jul 2024 14 Jul 2024 L 0-2 3.38 1.10 0 −1.10 +0.21 −€1.00
M24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home21 Jul 2024 21 Jul 2024 L 1-4 4.81 0.82 0 −0.82 −0.61 −€1.00
M25 Kashima Antlers · Away7 Aug 2024 7 Aug 2024 L 0-3 4.96 0.79 0 −0.79 −1.40 −€1.00
M26 Urawa Reds · Home11 Aug 2024 11 Aug 2024 D 1-1 3.38 1.09 1 −0.09 −1.49 −€1.00
M27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away16 Aug 2024 16 Aug 2024 L 3-5 3.00 1.19 0 −1.19 −2.68 −€1.00
M28 Vissel Kobe · Away25 Aug 2024 25 Aug 2024 L 0-2 9.00 0.50 0 −0.50 −3.18 −€1.00
M29 Shonan Bellmare · Home31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 L 1-2 3.32 1.12 0 −1.12 −4.29 −€1.00
M30 Kawasaki Frontale · Away13 Sep 2024 13 Sep 2024 L 2-3 6.81 0.61 0 −0.61 −4.90 −€1.00
M31 Verdy · Away22 Sep 2024 22 Sep 2024 L 0-2 4.71 0.84 0 −0.84 −5.74 −€1.00
M32 Avispa Fukuoka · Home28 Sep 2024 28 Sep 2024 D 0-0 2.93 1.28 1 −0.28 −6.02 −€1.00
M33 FC Tokyo · Away5 Oct 2024 5 Oct 2024 D 1-1 3.81 0.99 1 +0.01 −6.01 −€1.00
M34 Kyoto · Away19 Oct 2024 19 Oct 2024 L 0-2 5.24 0.75 0 −0.75 −6.77 −€1.00
M35 Machida · Home3 Nov 2024 3 Nov 2024 W 2-1 5.05 0.79 3 +2.21 −4.56 +€4.05
M36 Yokohama F. Marinos · Home9 Nov 2024 9 Nov 2024 L 1-2 3.77 0.97 0 −0.97 −5.54 −€1.00
M37 Nagoya Grampus · Away30 Nov 2024 30 Nov 2024 W 3-0 5.08 0.80 3 +2.20 −3.34 +€4.08
M38 Iwata · Home8 Dec 2024 8 Dec 2024 W 3-0 2.90 1.24 3 +1.76 −1.57 +€1.90
Total 36.57 35 −1.57 +€2.72