Points
68Points expected by the market
72.68Gap
−4.68Yield
−17.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +3.10 | +13.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 41 | −6.78 | −23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 22 | +2.22 | +9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −1.99 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 24 | −4.79 | −30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Urawa Reds · Home23 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | FC Tokyo · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.56 |
| M3 | Sagan Tosu · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.35 |
| M4 | Vissel Kobe · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.87 |
| M5 | Gamba Osaka · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.24 |
| M6 | Machida · Away3 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.19 |
| M7 | Shonan Bellmare · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.05 |
| M8 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +1.15 |
| M9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +0.31 |
| M10 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | −0.61 |
| M11 | Albirex Niigata · Away3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −1.44 |
| M12 | Nagoya Grampus · Home6 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.01 | −3.46 |
| M13 | Kashima Antlers · Home15 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.95 | −5.41 |
| M14 | Kyoto · Away19 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −4.42 |
| M15 | Cerezo Osaka · Away26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −5.09 |
| M16 | Iwata · Home1 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −4.34 |
| M17 | Verdy · Home15 Jun 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −3.46 |
| M18 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away19 Jun 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.77 | −5.22 |
| M19 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away22 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −3.92 |
| M20 | Albirex Niigata · Home26 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −5.12 |
| M21 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −5.72 |
| M22 | Vissel Kobe · Home5 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −7.32 |
| M23 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home14 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −6.40 |
| M24 | Sagan Tosu · Away21 Jul 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −5.35 |
| M25 | Verdy · Away7 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −4.20 |
| M26 | Cerezo Osaka · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −3.17 |
| M27 | Nagoya Grampus · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.90 |
| M28 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −0.84 |
| M29 | FC Tokyo · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.75 | −0.09 |
| M30 | Kashima Antlers · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.62 |
| M31 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.25 |
| M32 | Machida · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.48 |
| M33 | Iwata · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.36 |
| M34 | Shonan Bellmare · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.48 |
| M35 | Kyoto · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.16 | −1.68 |
| M36 | Urawa Reds · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −3.56 |
| M37 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −2.89 |
| M38 | Gamba Osaka · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.68 |
| Total | 68 | −4.68 | |||