Points
45Points expected by the market
46.79Gap
−1.79Yield
−4.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.78 | +21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 24 | −3.81 | −17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.23 | +8.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.40 | −0.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −7.61 | −55.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.27 | +16.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.80 | +23.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.04 | +4.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Kyoto · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.56 |
| M4 | Urawa Reds · Home17 Mar 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.34 |
| M5 | Cerezo Osaka · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.70 |
| M6 | Verdy · Home3 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.02 |
| M7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.67 |
| M8 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.86 |
| M9 | Vissel Kobe · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.66 |
| M10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.83 |
| M11 | Kashima Antlers · Away3 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.78 |
| M12 | Sagan Tosu · Home6 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −3.48 |
| M13 | Machida · Home11 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.51 |
| M14 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away15 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.51 |
| M15 | Albirex Niigata · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −3.00 |
| M16 | Iwata · Away25 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.47 |
| M17 | Gamba Osaka · Home1 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.75 |
| M18 | Nagoya Grampus · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.77 |
| M19 | FC Tokyo · Home22 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −7.23 |
| M20 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away26 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −7.34 |
| M21 | Kyoto · Home30 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −9.02 |
| M22 | Urawa Reds · Away6 Jul 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | −6.85 |
| M23 | Iwata · Home14 Jul 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.52 |
| M24 | Gamba Osaka · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.69 |
| M25 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home7 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.26 |
| M26 | Machida · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −2.30 |
| M27 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.64 |
| M28 | Nagoya Grampus · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −5.10 |
| M29 | Sagan Tosu · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.71 |
| M30 | Albirex Niigata · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.88 |
| M31 | Cerezo Osaka · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.43 |
| M32 | Kashima Antlers · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.85 |
| M33 | Verdy · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.03 |
| M34 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −0.89 |
| M35 | FC Tokyo · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.77 |
| M36 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.22 |
| M37 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −1.30 |
| M38 | Vissel Kobe · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −1.79 |
| Total | 45 | −1.79 | |||