Points
48Points expected by the market
56.73Gap
−8.73Yield
−25.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 25 | −3.70 | −20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 20 | −5.31 | −42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.28 | +53.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −1.23 | −3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.67 | −61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.13 | +361.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.47 | −57.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −2.64 | −31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away23 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Verdy · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −1.90 |
| M3 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.37 |
| M4 | Shonan Bellmare · Away17 Mar 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.85 |
| M5 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.44 |
| M6 | FC Tokyo · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.33 |
| M7 | Sagan Tosu · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.26 |
| M8 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away12 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.71 |
| M9 | Gamba Osaka · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.45 |
| M10 | Nagoya Grampus · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −2.24 |
| M11 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away3 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.51 |
| M12 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home6 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.40 |
| M13 | Albirex Niigata · Away11 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.01 |
| M14 | Kyoto · Home15 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +0.03 |
| M15 | Iwata · Away19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.73 |
| M16 | Machida · Home26 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.09 |
| M17 | Vissel Kobe · Home1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.34 |
| M18 | Cerezo Osaka · Away15 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.70 |
| M19 | Kashima Antlers · Home22 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.23 |
| M20 | Nagoya Grampus · Away26 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.50 |
| M21 | Iwata · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −1.34 |
| M22 | Shonan Bellmare · Home6 Jul 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.92 | −3.25 |
| M23 | Kyoto · Away14 Jul 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.92 |
| M24 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home20 Jul 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.89 | −5.81 |
| M25 | Sagan Tosu · Away11 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.48 |
| M26 | Kashima Antlers · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.63 |
| M27 | Machida · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −6.73 |
| M28 | Gamba Osaka · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.97 |
| M29 | FC Tokyo · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −6.71 |
| M30 | Vissel Kobe · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −7.48 |
| M31 | Cerezo Osaka · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −9.04 |
| M32 | Verdy · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −10.31 |
| M33 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home23 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −8.65 |
| M34 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −8.96 |
| M35 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −6.83 |
| M36 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home22 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −7.20 |
| M37 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −8.48 |
| M38 | Albirex Niigata · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −8.73 |
| Total | 48 | −8.73 | |||