Points
56Points expected by the market
47.39Gap
+8.61Yield
+10.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.50 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 38 | +4.19 | −3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 12 | +1.92 | +28.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.50 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.69 | −24.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.50 | +21.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 12 | +4.81 | +77.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home25 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Urawa Reds · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.88 |
| M3 | Cerezo Osaka · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.02 |
| M4 | Albirex Niigata · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Kyoto · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.76 |
| M6 | Shonan Bellmare · Away3 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.15 |
| M7 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.41 |
| M8 | FC Tokyo · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.91 |
| M9 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.94 |
| M10 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.43 |
| M11 | Sagan Tosu · Away3 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.94 |
| M12 | Iwata · Home6 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.52 |
| M13 | Kashima Antlers · Away12 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.60 |
| M14 | Gamba Osaka · Home15 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.22 |
| M15 | Machida · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.82 |
| M16 | Vissel Kobe · Away26 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | +1.47 |
| M17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home2 Jun 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.89 |
| M18 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away15 Jun 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +2.23 |
| M19 | Nagoya Grampus · Home22 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.94 |
| M20 | Iwata · Away26 Jun 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.56 |
| M21 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away29 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +4.70 |
| M22 | Cerezo Osaka · Home6 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +4.48 |
| M23 | Machida · Home14 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +3.46 |
| M24 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away20 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.21 |
| M25 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home7 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.32 |
| M26 | Nagoya Grampus · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.06 |
| M27 | FC Tokyo · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +2.57 |
| M28 | Kashima Antlers · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.31 |
| M29 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.03 |
| M30 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.65 |
| M31 | Sagan Tosu · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +8.74 |
| M32 | Gamba Osaka · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +8.64 |
| M33 | Shonan Bellmare · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +7.10 |
| M34 | Urawa Reds · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +8.68 |
| M35 | Albirex Niigata · Away23 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +10.60 |
| M36 | Vissel Kobe · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +10.47 |
| M37 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.51 | +8.96 |
| M38 | Kyoto · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +8.61 |
| Total | 56 | +8.61 | |||