Points
72Points expected by the market
68.02Gap
+3.98Yield
+5.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.30 | −19.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 46 | +5.12 | +14.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +1.17 | −2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.30 | −19.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +0.31 | +0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +4.80 | +31.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +1.94 | +19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Iwata · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.16 |
| M2 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −0.63 |
| M3 | FC Tokyo · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.81 |
| M4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.59 |
| M5 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Sagan Tosu · Away3 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | +0.50 |
| M7 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.39 |
| M8 | Machida · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.21 |
| M9 | Shonan Bellmare · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.25 |
| M10 | Kyoto · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.17 | −0.92 |
| M11 | Nagoya Grampus · Away3 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.43 |
| M12 | Albirex Niigata · Home6 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.58 |
| M13 | Cerezo Osaka · Away11 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.91 |
| M14 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home15 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +3.79 |
| M15 | Kashima Antlers · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +2.26 |
| M16 | Verdy · Home26 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.04 | +0.22 |
| M17 | Urawa Reds · Away1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.25 |
| M18 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home16 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.99 |
| M19 | Gamba Osaka · Away22 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.60 |
| M20 | Machida · Home26 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.14 |
| M21 | Kashima Antlers · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.16 |
| M22 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away5 Jul 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.04 |
| M23 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Away13 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +0.94 |
| M24 | Nagoya Grampus · Home20 Jul 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.93 | +0.01 |
| M25 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away7 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.49 |
| M26 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.17 |
| M27 | Gamba Osaka · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.50 |
| M28 | Sagan Tosu · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.17 |
| M29 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.35 |
| M30 | Cerezo Osaka · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.44 |
| M31 | Albirex Niigata · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.69 |
| M32 | Urawa Reds · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +4.70 |
| M33 | Kyoto · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.93 |
| M34 | FC Tokyo · Home18 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.22 | +3.72 |
| M35 | Iwata · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.45 |
| M36 | Verdy · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +3.90 |
| M37 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +3.31 |
| M38 | Shonan Bellmare · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.98 |
| Total | 72 | +3.98 | |||