Points
24Points expected by the market
44.05Gap
−20.05Yield
−65.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.43 | +113.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 12 | −17.12 | −89.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | −4.36 | −40.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.43 | +113.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −8.21 | −82.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 2 | −8.91 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −2.19 | −10.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.22 |
| M2 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.43 |
| M3 | Kashima Antlers · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.55 |
| M4 | Cerezo Osaka · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −3.02 |
| M5 | Verdy · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.49 |
| M6 | Machida · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.53 |
| M7 | Gamba Osaka · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.90 |
| M8 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home2 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −6.35 |
| M9 | Vissel Kobe · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −4.38 |
| M10 | Yokohama FC · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.88 |
| M11 | Kyoto · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.23 |
| M12 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −6.36 |
| M13 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −4.19 |
| M14 | FC Tokyo · Home3 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.70 |
| M15 | Urawa Reds · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −5.92 |
| M16 | Okayama · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.18 |
| M17 | Shonan Bellmare · Home25 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −5.73 |
| M18 | Nagoya Grampus · Away31 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.82 |
| M19 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home15 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −5.39 |
| M20 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away21 Jun 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.66 |
| M21 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away25 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −7.54 |
| M22 | Machida · Home29 Jun 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −8.56 |
| M23 | Kyoto · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −9.48 |
| M24 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −10.19 |
| M25 | Cerezo Osaka · Away11 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −11.08 |
| M26 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −11.04 |
| M27 | Kashima Antlers · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −12.15 |
| M28 | Urawa Reds · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.02 |
| M29 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −14.49 |
| M30 | Yokohama FC · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −15.64 |
| M31 | Nagoya Grampus · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −15.98 |
| M32 | Gamba Osaka · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −16.77 |
| M33 | Okayama · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −17.16 |
| M34 | Verdy · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −18.28 |
| M35 | Vissel Kobe · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | −18.12 |
| M36 | Shonan Bellmare · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.44 | −19.56 |
| M37 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −20.21 |
| M38 | FC Tokyo · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −20.05 |
| Total | 24 | −20.05 | |||