Points
48Points expected by the market
47.27Gap
+0.73Yield
−11.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.64 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 34 | −0.23 | −6.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +0.32 | −24.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.64 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +2.43 | −2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.66 | −13.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +1.24 | −5.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.30 |
| M2 | Gamba Osaka · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.30 |
| M3 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home26 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.24 |
| M4 | Vissel Kobe · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.35 |
| M5 | Kyoto · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.51 |
| M6 | FC Tokyo · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.98 |
| M7 | Machida · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.73 |
| M8 | Albirex Niigata · Away2 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.50 |
| M9 | Urawa Reds · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +5.10 |
| M10 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.53 |
| M11 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.24 |
| M12 | Okayama · Home25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +4.64 |
| M13 | Shonan Bellmare · Away29 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.29 |
| M14 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.33 |
| M15 | Kashima Antlers · Home6 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.93 |
| M16 | Yokohama FC · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.62 |
| M17 | Nagoya Grampus · Home17 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.32 |
| M18 | Cerezo Osaka · Away24 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.82 |
| M19 | Verdy · Home31 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.16 |
| M20 | Okayama · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.62 |
| M21 | Albirex Niigata · Home21 Jun 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.20 |
| M22 | Vissel Kobe · Home28 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +2.21 |
| M23 | Kyoto · Home21 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.86 |
| M24 | Urawa Reds · Away27 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.87 |
| M25 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.91 |
| M26 | Kashima Antlers · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.83 |
| M27 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +3.24 |
| M28 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.40 |
| M29 | Cerezo Osaka · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.24 |
| M30 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.06 |
| M31 | FC Tokyo · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.20 |
| M32 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.31 |
| M33 | Yokohama FC · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.74 |
| M34 | Machida · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.56 |
| M35 | Shonan Bellmare · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.67 |
| M36 | Verdy · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.33 |
| M37 | Gamba Osaka · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.92 |
| M38 | Nagoya Grampus · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.73 |
| Total | 48 | +0.73 | |||