Points
50Points expected by the market
46.20Gap
+3.80Yield
+1.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.54 | +24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.45 | −11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 16 | +2.70 | +12.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.19 | +55.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.34 | −21.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +1.95 | +56.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.90 | −1.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.75 | −12.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Yokohama FC · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.67 |
| M2 | Machida · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.56 |
| M3 | Nagoya Grampus · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.29 |
| M4 | Kashima Antlers · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.31 |
| M5 | Shonan Bellmare · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.24 |
| M6 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.09 |
| M7 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.94 |
| M8 | Verdy · Away2 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.08 |
| M9 | Okayama · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.34 |
| M10 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home11 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.49 |
| M11 | Cerezo Osaka · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −2.39 |
| M12 | Gamba Osaka · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.41 |
| M13 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home29 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.75 |
| M14 | Albirex Niigata · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.06 |
| M15 | Vissel Kobe · Home10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.10 |
| M16 | Urawa Reds · Away17 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.08 |
| M17 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.12 |
| M18 | Kyoto · Away31 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.09 |
| M19 | Cerezo Osaka · Home14 Jun 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.29 |
| M20 | Gamba Osaka · Away22 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.25 |
| M21 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away25 Jun 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.42 |
| M22 | Yokohama FC · Home28 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.02 |
| M23 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.07 |
| M24 | Urawa Reds · Home19 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.68 |
| M25 | Kashima Antlers · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +0.20 |
| M26 | Shonan Bellmare · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.44 |
| M27 | Kyoto · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.85 |
| M28 | Nagoya Grampus · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.07 |
| M29 | Verdy · Home15 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.56 |
| M30 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +1.49 |
| M31 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.93 |
| M32 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.42 |
| M33 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.99 |
| M34 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away17 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | +1.23 |
| M35 | Okayama · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.45 |
| M36 | Machida · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.47 |
| M37 | Vissel Kobe · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | +4.70 |
| M38 | Albirex Niigata · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +3.80 |
| Total | 50 | +3.80 | |||