Points
57Points expected by the market
53.16Gap
+3.84Yield
+5.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 27 | +7.63 | +52.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 26 | −2.93 | −13.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.86 | −19.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 24 | +8.12 | +65.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.37 | +14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.49 | −8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −2.56 | −32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.82 | +0.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cerezo Osaka · Home14 Feb 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.52 | −1.52 |
| M2 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.21 |
| M3 | Okayama · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.55 |
| M4 | Verdy · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +0.45 |
| M5 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.23 |
| M6 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.03 |
| M7 | Albirex Niigata · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.70 |
| M8 | Machida · Home2 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.53 |
| M9 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.82 |
| M10 | Nagoya Grampus · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.35 |
| M11 | Yokohama FC · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.76 |
| M12 | FC Tokyo · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −2.47 |
| M13 | Kyoto · Home29 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.98 |
| M14 | Shonan Bellmare · Home3 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Urawa Reds · Away6 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.25 |
| M16 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.03 |
| M17 | Vissel Kobe · Away17 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.05 |
| M18 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away25 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.10 |
| M19 | Kashima Antlers · Home31 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.58 |
| M20 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away15 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.95 |
| M21 | FC Tokyo · Home22 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.73 |
| M22 | Kyoto · Away28 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.09 |
| M23 | Cerezo Osaka · Away5 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.30 |
| M24 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.37 |
| M25 | Okayama · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.33 |
| M26 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.21 |
| M27 | Machida · Away20 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.16 |
| M28 | Yokohama FC · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.90 |
| M29 | Shonan Bellmare · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.32 |
| M30 | Urawa Reds · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.66 |
| M31 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.70 |
| M32 | Albirex Niigata · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.74 |
| M33 | Kashima Antlers · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +3.64 |
| M34 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.34 | +2.30 |
| M35 | Nagoya Grampus · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.94 |
| M36 | Vissel Kobe · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +3.90 |
| M37 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.60 |
| M38 | Verdy · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.84 |
| Total | 57 | +3.84 | |||