Points
76Points expected by the market
55.26Gap
+20.74Yield
+48.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.78 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.31 | −8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 53 | +21.32 | +84.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.78 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.16 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 26 | +12.63 | +119.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.85 | +25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 27 | +8.69 | +58.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shonan Bellmare · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.63 |
| M2 | Verdy · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.09 |
| M3 | Albirex Niigata · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.33 |
| M4 | FC Tokyo · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.60 |
| M5 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.25 |
| M6 | Urawa Reds · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.87 |
| M7 | Vissel Kobe · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.71 |
| M8 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +4.66 |
| M9 | Kyoto · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.58 | +3.08 |
| M10 | Cerezo Osaka · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.83 |
| M11 | Okayama · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.49 |
| M12 | Nagoya Grampus · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.03 |
| M13 | Yokohama FC · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +6.85 |
| M14 | Machida · Home3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +8.70 |
| M15 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away6 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +10.40 |
| M16 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +12.08 |
| M17 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home17 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +13.77 |
| M18 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away25 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +12.41 |
| M19 | Gamba Osaka · Away31 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +14.17 |
| M20 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home14 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +13.96 |
| M21 | Machida · Away21 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +12.95 |
| M22 | Okayama · Home28 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +11.11 |
| M23 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +9.94 |
| M24 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +11.59 |
| M25 | FC Tokyo · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +13.34 |
| M26 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +12.71 |
| M27 | Albirex Niigata · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +14.09 |
| M28 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +13.57 |
| M29 | Shonan Bellmare · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +14.51 |
| M30 | Urawa Reds · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +16.18 |
| M31 | Cerezo Osaka · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +17.37 |
| M32 | Nagoya Grampus · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +18.86 |
| M33 | Gamba Osaka · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +18.22 |
| M34 | Vissel Kobe · Away17 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +18.11 |
| M35 | Kyoto · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +17.71 |
| M36 | Yokohama FC · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +18.78 |
| M37 | Verdy · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +19.89 |
| M38 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +20.74 |
| Total | 76 | +20.74 | |||