Points
75Points expected by the market
58.92Gap
+16.08Yield
+16.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 38 | +10.91 | +43.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 33 | +4.32 | +1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 32 | +10.01 | +46.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.63 | −28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.90 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +4.94 | +15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.47 |
| M3 | Cerezo Osaka · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.98 |
| M4 | Urawa Reds · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.79 |
| M5 | Kashima Antlers · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +3.46 |
| M6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.46 |
| M7 | Verdy · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.82 |
| M8 | Kyoto · Away2 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.48 |
| M9 | Gamba Osaka · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.08 |
| M10 | FC Tokyo · Away11 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +3.54 |
| M11 | Shonan Bellmare · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.08 |
| M12 | Albirex Niigata · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +4.50 |
| M13 | Nagoya Grampus · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.25 |
| M14 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home6 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.60 |
| M15 | Okayama · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +8.97 |
| M16 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away14 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +10.25 |
| M17 | Machida · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +9.07 |
| M18 | Yokohama FC · Away25 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +8.52 |
| M19 | Vissel Kobe · Home31 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +7.14 |
| M20 | Verdy · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +8.51 |
| M21 | Kyoto · Home21 Jun 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.71 | +7.81 |
| M22 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away28 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +9.36 |
| M23 | FC Tokyo · Home5 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +10.56 |
| M24 | Kashima Antlers · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +9.20 |
| M25 | Shonan Bellmare · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +10.14 |
| M26 | Okayama · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +8.38 |
| M27 | Urawa Reds · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +9.67 |
| M28 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.77 |
| M29 | Vissel Kobe · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +10.49 |
| M30 | Cerezo Osaka · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +10.08 |
| M31 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +9.79 |
| M32 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.28 | +9.51 |
| M33 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +10.59 |
| M34 | Gamba Osaka · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.20 |
| M35 | Yokohama FC · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +13.20 |
| M36 | Nagoya Grampus · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +14.15 |
| M37 | Albirex Niigata · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +15.00 |
| M38 | Machida · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +16.08 |
| Total | 75 | +16.08 | |||