Points
57Points expected by the market
60.71Gap
−3.71Yield
−17.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 40 | +1.01 | −8.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −4.71 | −30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −0.73 | −15.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.31 | −30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.74 | +6.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.40 | −30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nagoya Grampus · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.75 |
| M3 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away26 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.96 |
| M4 | Kyoto · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | +0.16 |
| M5 | Okayama · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.65 |
| M6 | FC Tokyo · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.65 |
| M7 | Shonan Bellmare · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +1.78 |
| M8 | Machida · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.62 |
| M9 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home9 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.99 |
| M10 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Vissel Kobe · Away16 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.78 |
| M12 | Verdy · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.63 |
| M13 | Kashima Antlers · Away11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.04 |
| M14 | Yokohama FC · Home14 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.91 |
| M15 | Cerezo Osaka · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.79 |
| M16 | Urawa Reds · Home21 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.46 |
| M17 | Gamba Osaka · Home25 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.04 |
| M18 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away31 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.14 |
| M19 | Yokohama FC · Away14 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.31 |
| M20 | Vissel Kobe · Home21 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.07 |
| M21 | Albirex Niigata · Home25 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +1.06 |
| M22 | Verdy · Away29 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.54 |
| M23 | Kashima Antlers · Home5 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.90 |
| M24 | Gamba Osaka · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.49 |
| M25 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.27 |
| M26 | Albirex Niigata · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.06 |
| M27 | Nagoya Grampus · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.71 | −1.35 |
| M28 | Machida · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.38 |
| M29 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.77 |
| M30 | FC Tokyo · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −0.05 |
| M31 | Shonan Bellmare · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +0.99 |
| M32 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.54 |
| M33 | Kyoto · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.19 |
| M34 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.28 |
| M35 | Cerezo Osaka · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.16 |
| M36 | Okayama · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −1.11 |
| M37 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.32 |
| M38 | Urawa Reds · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.71 |
| Total | 57 | −3.71 | |||