Points
68Points expected by the market
50.70Gap
+17.30Yield
+38.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.35 | +15.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 44 | +9.94 | +26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 11 | +6.01 | +137.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.73 | +18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +3.29 | −1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +275.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.61 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +6.66 | +54.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 8 | +4.04 | +102.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Okayama · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.47 |
| M2 | Urawa Reds · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.65 |
| M3 | Vissel Kobe · Away26 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.73 |
| M4 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.32 |
| M5 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.24 |
| M6 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.58 |
| M7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +2.55 |
| M8 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home2 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.20 |
| M9 | Kashima Antlers · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.86 | +4.06 |
| M10 | Shonan Bellmare · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.57 |
| M11 | Urawa Reds · Away16 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.41 |
| M12 | Albirex Niigata · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.07 |
| M13 | Yokohama FC · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +7.56 |
| M14 | Gamba Osaka · Away29 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +6.36 |
| M15 | Cerezo Osaka · Home3 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +4.85 |
| M16 | Machida · Away7 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +6.85 |
| M17 | Nagoya Grampus · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +6.58 |
| M18 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +8.22 |
| M19 | Verdy · Away25 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +7.03 |
| M20 | FC Tokyo · Home31 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.52 |
| M21 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away21 Jun 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.02 | +8.51 |
| M22 | Gamba Osaka · Home28 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +10.16 |
| M23 | Albirex Niigata · Home5 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +11.33 |
| M24 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away21 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +10.99 |
| M25 | Nagoya Grampus · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +12.66 |
| M26 | Verdy · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +14.07 |
| M27 | FC Tokyo · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +15.76 |
| M28 | Okayama · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +17.10 |
| M29 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +17.10 |
| M30 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +15.51 |
| M31 | Machida · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +15.40 |
| M32 | Cerezo Osaka · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +17.16 |
| M33 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +16.76 |
| M34 | Shonan Bellmare · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +15.97 |
| M35 | Kashima Antlers · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +15.65 |
| M36 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +14.05 |
| M37 | Yokohama FC · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +15.45 |
| M38 | Vissel Kobe · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +17.30 |
| Total | 68 | +17.30 | |||