Points
43Points expected by the market
48.87Gap
−5.87Yield
−19.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.55 | +94.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 30 | −7.85 | −36.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.56 | +9.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.55 | +94.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −2.16 | −18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.95 | +118.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.69 | −57.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.51 | −26.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.02 |
| M2 | Vissel Kobe · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.13 |
| M3 | FC Tokyo · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.53 |
| M4 | Machida · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.69 |
| M5 | Cerezo Osaka · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −3.90 |
| M6 | Verdy · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.11 |
| M7 | Yokohama FC · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.52 |
| M8 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −2.00 |
| M9 | Shonan Bellmare · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.17 |
| M10 | Gamba Osaka · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.34 |
| M11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −2.28 |
| M12 | Kashima Antlers · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.50 |
| M13 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home29 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −4.94 |
| M14 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.22 |
| M15 | Okayama · Home6 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.69 |
| M16 | Kyoto · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.09 |
| M17 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away17 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.45 |
| M18 | Urawa Reds · Home24 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.96 |
| M19 | Albirex Niigata · Home31 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.58 |
| M20 | Vissel Kobe · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.58 |
| M21 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home21 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.03 |
| M22 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away28 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −0.92 |
| M23 | Verdy · Home5 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.47 |
| M24 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.84 |
| M25 | Kyoto · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.22 |
| M26 | Urawa Reds · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.29 |
| M27 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.72 |
| M28 | FC Tokyo · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −7.22 |
| M29 | Okayama · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −5.58 |
| M30 | Shonan Bellmare · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −4.42 |
| M31 | Albirex Niigata · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.79 |
| M32 | Kashima Antlers · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.99 |
| M33 | Cerezo Osaka · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.32 |
| M34 | Yokohama FC · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.48 |
| M35 | Gamba Osaka · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −5.84 |
| M36 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −6.54 |
| M37 | Machida · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −7.36 |
| M38 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.87 |
| Total | 43 | −5.87 | |||