Points
45Points expected by the market
43.92Gap
+1.08Yield
+2.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.27 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 26 | 0.00 | −0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | −0.19 | +0.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.27 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.58 | +5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.24 | −20.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.58 | −12.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | −0.44 | +9.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kyoto · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Yokohama FC · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.61 |
| M3 | Gamba Osaka · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.25 |
| M4 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.97 |
| M5 | Urawa Reds · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.97 |
| M6 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.06 |
| M7 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.79 |
| M8 | Cerezo Osaka · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.66 |
| M9 | FC Tokyo · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.24 |
| M10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +5.40 |
| M11 | Kashima Antlers · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +4.03 |
| M12 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.95 |
| M13 | Verdy · Home29 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.55 |
| M14 | Vissel Kobe · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.74 |
| M15 | Nagoya Grampus · Away6 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.52 |
| M16 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.45 |
| M17 | Albirex Niigata · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.04 |
| M18 | Machida · Home25 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.99 |
| M19 | Shonan Bellmare · Away1 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.74 |
| M20 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home15 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.28 |
| M21 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away21 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.14 |
| M22 | Kashima Antlers · Away28 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +4.25 |
| M23 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home5 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.27 |
| M24 | Vissel Kobe · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.43 |
| M25 | Gamba Osaka · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.40 |
| M26 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +6.43 |
| M27 | Shonan Bellmare · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.71 |
| M28 | Kyoto · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +6.65 |
| M29 | Nagoya Grampus · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +5.31 |
| M30 | Verdy · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.12 | +4.20 |
| M31 | Yokohama FC · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.75 |
| M32 | Machida · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.95 |
| M33 | Albirex Niigata · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.64 |
| M34 | Cerezo Osaka · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.36 |
| M35 | FC Tokyo · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.41 |
| M36 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.59 |
| M37 | Urawa Reds · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.70 |
| M38 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.08 |
| Total | 45 | +1.08 | |||