Points
44Points expected by the market
47.60Gap
−3.60Yield
−18.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 30 | 42 | +2.28 | +3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −4.30 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.17 | −7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.11 | +16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Verdy · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.81 |
| M2 | Albirex Niigata · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.35 |
| M3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home26 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +3.30 |
| M4 | Okayama · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.90 |
| M5 | Gamba Osaka · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +1.42 |
| M6 | Kyoto · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.10 |
| M7 | Shonan Bellmare · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.49 |
| M8 | Urawa Reds · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +0.46 |
| M9 | Yokohama FC · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.89 |
| M10 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.10 |
| M11 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away16 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.73 |
| M12 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.33 |
| M13 | FC Tokyo · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.96 |
| M14 | Nagoya Grampus · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +2.54 |
| M15 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away6 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.49 |
| M16 | Machida · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.23 |
| M17 | Kashima Antlers · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.17 |
| M18 | Vissel Kobe · Home25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.71 |
| M19 | Cerezo Osaka · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.38 |
| M20 | Gamba Osaka · Home15 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.04 |
| M21 | Nagoya Grampus · Away21 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.23 |
| M22 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home28 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.50 |
| M23 | Machida · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.37 |
| M24 | Yokohama FC · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.87 |
| M25 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away10 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.64 |
| M26 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.23 |
| M27 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −2.34 |
| M28 | Kashima Antlers · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.55 |
| M29 | Albirex Niigata · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.79 |
| M30 | Kyoto · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.07 |
| M31 | Urawa Reds · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.86 |
| M32 | Vissel Kobe · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.20 |
| M33 | FC Tokyo · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.08 |
| M34 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.95 |
| M35 | Verdy · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.60 |
| M36 | Cerezo Osaka · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.67 |
| M37 | Shonan Bellmare · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.11 |
| M38 | Okayama · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.60 |
| Total | 44 | −3.60 | |||