Points
32Points expected by the market
41.83Gap
−9.83Yield
−33.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | +0.18 | −3.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 8 | −8.81 | −54.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.64 | −5.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.76 | −50.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.46 | +0.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 3 | −7.04 | −56.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kashima Antlers · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.91 |
| M2 | Cerezo Osaka · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.66 |
| M3 | Urawa Reds · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.29 |
| M4 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +4.99 |
| M5 | FC Tokyo · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +4.35 |
| M6 | Vissel Kobe · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +3.13 |
| M7 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.83 |
| M8 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.96 |
| M9 | Nagoya Grampus · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.43 |
| M10 | Kyoto · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.21 |
| M11 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.02 |
| M12 | Machida · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.15 |
| M13 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home29 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.82 |
| M14 | Gamba Osaka · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.73 |
| M15 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home7 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.30 |
| M16 | Verdy · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.47 |
| M17 | Yokohama FC · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.07 |
| M18 | Albirex Niigata · Away25 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.10 |
| M19 | Okayama · Home1 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.54 |
| M20 | Machida · Home14 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.51 |
| M21 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home28 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.07 |
| M22 | Vissel Kobe · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.74 |
| M23 | Cerezo Osaka · Home19 Jul 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.71 |
| M24 | Urawa Reds · Away23 Jul 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.51 |
| M25 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −5.24 |
| M26 | FC Tokyo · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −5.32 |
| M27 | Okayama · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.32 |
| M28 | Gamba Osaka · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 4-5 | 0 | −0.95 | −7.26 |
| M29 | Kashima Antlers · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −7.98 |
| M30 | Nagoya Grampus · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −8.88 |
| M31 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −9.69 |
| M32 | Yokohama FC · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −10.69 |
| M33 | Verdy · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.88 |
| M34 | Kyoto · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −11.84 |
| M35 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −12.79 |
| M36 | Albirex Niigata · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.73 | −11.06 |
| M37 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −9.35 |
| M38 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −9.83 |
| Total | 32 | −9.83 | |||