Points
59Points expected by the market
54.13Gap
+4.87Yield
−3.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 30 | +9.69 | +48.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 27 | −2.98 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 29 | +10.27 | +61.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.02 | +35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.99 | −42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vissel Kobe · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.10 |
| M2 | Kyoto · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.44 |
| M3 | Shonan Bellmare · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.79 |
| M4 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.29 |
| M5 | Okayama · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −2.01 |
| M6 | Kashima Antlers · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.34 |
| M7 | Cerezo Osaka · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.83 |
| M8 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.50 |
| M9 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.79 |
| M10 | Machida · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.95 |
| M11 | Kyoto · Home16 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.51 |
| M12 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.87 |
| M13 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.53 |
| M14 | Verdy · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +4.93 |
| M15 | Gamba Osaka · Home6 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +3.38 |
| M16 | Albirex Niigata · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.90 |
| M17 | FC Tokyo · Home17 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.21 |
| M18 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away21 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | +4.16 |
| M19 | Nagoya Grampus · Away24 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.97 |
| M20 | Cerezo Osaka · Home28 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.40 |
| M21 | Yokohama FC · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.75 |
| M22 | FC Tokyo · Away19 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.43 |
| M23 | Shonan Bellmare · Home23 Jul 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.48 |
| M24 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home27 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.76 |
| M25 | Yokohama FC · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.24 |
| M26 | Nagoya Grampus · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.60 |
| M27 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.03 | +4.57 |
| M28 | Albirex Niigata · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.69 |
| M29 | Gamba Osaka · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +4.62 |
| M30 | Kashima Antlers · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.22 |
| M31 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.71 |
| M32 | Verdy · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.14 |
| M33 | Vissel Kobe · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +4.02 |
| M34 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +2.69 |
| M35 | Machida · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.50 |
| M36 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.64 |
| M37 | Okayama · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.22 |
| M38 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.87 |
| Total | 59 | +4.87 | |||