Points
43Points expected by the market
46.46Gap
−3.46Yield
−19.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 38 | +5.97 | +10.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 5 | −7.73 | −69.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 27 | +8.83 | +61.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −5.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.87 | −51.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.70 | −49.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.51 |
| M2 | Kashima Antlers · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.71 |
| M3 | Machida · Away26 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.74 |
| M4 | Gamba Osaka · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −2.43 |
| M5 | Albirex Niigata · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.65 |
| M6 | Nagoya Grampus · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.13 |
| M7 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.19 |
| M8 | FC Tokyo · Home2 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.74 |
| M9 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.07 |
| M10 | Vissel Kobe · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.20 |
| M11 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −3.08 |
| M12 | Cerezo Osaka · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.32 |
| M13 | Okayama · Away29 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.42 |
| M14 | Urawa Reds · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.67 |
| M15 | Yokohama FC · Home6 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.07 |
| M16 | Shonan Bellmare · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.39 |
| M17 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away17 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.28 |
| M18 | Kyoto · Home25 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.23 |
| M19 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away31 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.07 |
| M20 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home15 Jun 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.14 |
| M21 | Cerezo Osaka · Away21 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.17 |
| M22 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home29 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.27 |
| M23 | Nagoya Grampus · Away5 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.41 |
| M24 | Machida · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.34 |
| M25 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.15 |
| M26 | Kyoto · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.97 |
| M27 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.03 |
| M28 | Yokohama FC · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.40 |
| M29 | FC Tokyo · Away15 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.60 |
| M30 | Okayama · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.16 |
| M31 | Vissel Kobe · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.91 |
| M32 | Urawa Reds · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.04 |
| M33 | Shonan Bellmare · Away3 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.54 |
| M34 | Albirex Niigata · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.10 |
| M35 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.34 |
| M36 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.65 |
| M37 | Kashima Antlers · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.49 |
| M38 | Gamba Osaka · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.46 |
| Total | 43 | −3.46 | |||