Points
43Points expected by the market
45.41Gap
−2.41Yield
−8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.16 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 39 | +4.16 | +12.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.41 | −53.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.16 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 25 | +5.60 | +29.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −1.44 | −5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.63 | −29.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Albirex Niigata · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.52 |
| M2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.28 |
| M3 | Yokohama FC · Home26 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.80 |
| M4 | Shonan Bellmare · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.23 |
| M5 | Gamba Osaka · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.76 |
| M6 | Okayama · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.21 |
| M7 | Nagoya Grampus · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.44 |
| M8 | Verdy · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.80 |
| M9 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away9 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.89 |
| M10 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.03 |
| M11 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home16 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −6.57 |
| M12 | Urawa Reds · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −7.66 |
| M13 | Cerezo Osaka · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −8.86 |
| M14 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home14 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.89 |
| M15 | Kyoto · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −11.25 |
| M16 | Vissel Kobe · Home21 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −12.05 |
| M17 | Kashima Antlers · Home25 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −10.42 |
| M18 | Machida · Away31 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.09 | −8.33 |
| M19 | Albirex Niigata · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −9.49 |
| M20 | Okayama · Home21 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −11.08 |
| M21 | FC Tokyo · Home25 Jun 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −12.65 |
| M22 | Shonan Bellmare · Away28 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −12.83 |
| M23 | Yokohama FC · Away5 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −11.04 |
| M24 | Nagoya Grampus · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −9.37 |
| M25 | Verdy · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −10.57 |
| M26 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −8.72 |
| M27 | Machida · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −8.67 |
| M28 | Vissel Kobe · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −9.35 |
| M29 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −10.48 |
| M30 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −8.88 |
| M31 | Gamba Osaka · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −9.69 |
| M32 | FC Tokyo · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.78 | −7.91 |
| M33 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −8.75 |
| M34 | Urawa Reds · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −7.14 |
| M35 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.34 |
| M36 | Kyoto · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.46 |
| M37 | Cerezo Osaka · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.77 |
| M38 | Kashima Antlers · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.41 |
| Total | 43 | −2.41 | |||